Daniel Gafford vs Kyle Kuzma: who to start in Week 1
Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kyle Kuzma 3. For that week alone, start Kyle Kuzma: 71.5 projected fantasy points to 71.1 for Daniel Gafford. Over the season, Kyle Kuzma leads in points leagues (23.8 fantasy points a game to 23.7) and Daniel Gafford in 9-cat leagues (130th against 215th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #150
- 23.7 FP/G, slot 13.06, $2
- 9-cat leagues
- #130
- -2.1 z, slot 11.10, $4
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #147
- 23.8 FP/G, slot 13.03, $2
- 9-cat leagues
- #215
- -4.0 z, slot 18.11
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Kyle Kuzma. 23.8 fantasy points per game against 23.7, 147th on our board to 150th.
9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -4.0 (130th to 215th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Kyle Kuzma in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Daniel Gafford produces more: 39.2 fantasy points to 32.7, on 21.7 minutes a night against 26.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kyle Kuzma 3. For that week alone, start Kyle Kuzma: 71.5 projected fantasy points to 71.1 for Daniel Gafford.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Daniel Gafford | Kyle Kuzma |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 23.7 | 23.8 |
| Minutes | 21.7 | 26.2 |
| PointsPTS | 9.1 | 12.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 6.6 | 4.6 |
| AssistsAST | 1.1 | 2.7 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 64.8% | 47.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 66.8% | 72.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 55 | 69 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Daniel Gafford | Kyle Kuzma |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 39.2 | 32.7 |
| Points | 15.0 | 17.1 |
| Rebounds | 11.0 | 6.4 |
| Assists | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 2.5 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Daniel Gafford | Kyle Kuzma |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.3 | -0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.4 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.3 | -0.5 |
| StealsSTL | -0.7 | -0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.3 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.4 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -1.2 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.9 | +0.1 |
| Total | -2.1 | -4.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Kyle Kuzma.
| Punt | Daniel Gafford | Kyle Kuzma |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.8 (#97) | -3.3 (#241) |
| REB | -2.9 (#185) | -3.7 (#240) |
| AST | -0.8 (#88) | -3.6 (#226) |
| STL | -1.5 (#119) | -3.5 (#209) |
| BLK | -3.8 (#217) | -3.6 (#205) |
| 3PM | -0.4 (#71) | -3.6 (#211) |
| FG% | -4.3 (#220) | -4.3 (#221) |
| FT% | -0.8 (#88) | -3.5 (#192) |
| TO | -3.2 (#144) | -4.2 (#180) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Daniel Gafford: 3 games (Wed @HOU, Fri @IND, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.
- Kyle Kuzma: 3 games (Wed @WAS, Fri CHI, Sat @PHI), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Daniel Gafford: 15.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 23.7 on the board.
- Kyle Kuzma: 22.7 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 23.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Daniel Gafford playing tonight? · Is Kyle Kuzma playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Daniel Gafford or Kyle Kuzma?
Points leagues: Kyle Kuzma. 23.8 fantasy points per game against 23.7, 147th on our board to 150th. 9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -4.0 (130th to 215th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Daniel Gafford or Kyle Kuzma?
Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Kyle Kuzma in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Daniel Gafford or Kyle Kuzma?
Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kyle Kuzma 3. For that week alone, start Kyle Kuzma: 71.5 projected fantasy points to 71.1 for Daniel Gafford.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number