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Anfernee Simons vs Steven Adams: who to start in Week 1

Anfernee Simons plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Steven Adams 3. For that week alone, start Anfernee Simons: 84.6 projected fantasy points to 63.9 for Steven Adams. Over the season, Steven Adams leads in points leagues (21.3 fantasy points a game to 21.2) and Anfernee Simons in 9-cat leagues (203rd against 256th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET.

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Anfernee Simons
PGSGPHIage 27
Points leagues
#191
21.2 FP/G, slot 16.11
9-cat leagues
#203
-3.8 z, slot 17.11

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Steven Adams
CHOUage 33DTD
Points leagues
#189
21.3 FP/G, slot 16.09
9-cat leagues
#256
-4.9 z, slot 22.04

Day to day (Calf)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Steven Adams. 21.3 fantasy points per game against 21.2, 189th on our board to 191st.

9-cat leagues: Anfernee Simons instead, -3.8 in summed z-scores against -4.9 (203rd to 256th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Anfernee Simons is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Steven Adams in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Steven Adams produces more: 33.6 fantasy points to 30.5, on 22.8 minutes a night against 24.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Anfernee Simons plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Steven Adams 3. For that week alone, start Anfernee Simons: 84.6 projected fantasy points to 63.9 for Steven Adams.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAnfernee SimonsSteven Adams
Fantasy points per game21.221.3
Minutes24.922.8
PointsPTS14.25.8
ReboundsREB2.48.6
AssistsAST2.31.5
StealsSTL0.50.7
BlocksBLK0.10.6
Threes3PM2.70.0
Field goal %FG%44.3%50.4%
Free throw %FT%89.6%58.0%
TurnoversTO1.21.1
Games, 2025-265532

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Anfernee SimonsSteven Adams
Fantasy points30.533.6
Points20.59.2
Rebounds3.513.6
Assists3.32.4
Steals0.71.1
Blocks0.21.0
Threes3.90.0
Turnovers1.71.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAnfernee SimonsSteven Adams
PointsPTS-0.4-1.8
ReboundsREB-1.5+1.3
AssistsAST-0.7-1.1
StealsSTL-1.6-0.9
BlocksBLK-1.1-0.1
Threes3PM+1.1-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.8+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%+0.4-1.7
TurnoversTO+0.9+1.0
Total-3.8-4.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Steven Adams.

PuntAnfernee SimonsSteven Adams
PTS-3.4 (#246)-3.1 (#224)
REB-2.2 (#144)-6.8 (#365)
AST-3.2 (#209)-3.8 (#235)
STL-2.3 (#156)-4.1 (#237)
BLK-2.7 (#162)-5.3 (#290)
3PM-4.9 (#276)-3.1 (#191)
FG%-2.9 (#156)-6.0 (#292)
FT%-4.3 (#233)-3.1 (#178)
TO-4.8 (#205)-6.1 (#254)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Anfernee Simons: 4 games (Tue @NYK, Thu CLE, Sat MIL, Sun DET), 1 back-to-back.
  • Steven Adams: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Anfernee Simons: 15.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.2 on the board.
  • Steven Adams: 21.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 21.3 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Anfernee Simons playing tonight? · Is Steven Adams playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Anfernee Simons or Steven Adams?

    Points leagues: Steven Adams. 21.3 fantasy points per game against 21.2, 189th on our board to 191st. 9-cat leagues: Anfernee Simons instead, -3.8 in summed z-scores against -4.9 (203rd to 256th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Anfernee Simons or Steven Adams?

    Category by category, Anfernee Simons is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Steven Adams in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Anfernee Simons or Steven Adams?

    Anfernee Simons plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Steven Adams 3. For that week alone, start Anfernee Simons: 84.6 projected fantasy points to 63.9 for Steven Adams.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number