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Jaylen Wells vs Steven Adams: who to start in Week 1

Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Steven Adams 3. For that week alone, start Jaylen Wells: 64.0 projected fantasy points to 63.9 for Steven Adams. Over the season, Jaylen Wells leads in both formats: 21.3 fantasy points a game to 21.3, and 207th against 256th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET.

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Jaylen Wells
SFSGMEMage 23
Points leagues
#187
21.3 FP/G, slot 16.07
9-cat leagues
#207
-3.8 z, slot 18.03

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Steven Adams
CHOUage 33DTD
Points leagues
#189
21.3 FP/G, slot 16.09
9-cat leagues
#256
-4.9 z, slot 22.04

Day to day (Calf)

The call

Points leagues: Jaylen Wells. 21.3 fantasy points per game against 21.3, 187th on our board to 189th.

9-cat leagues: Jaylen Wells again, -3.8 in summed z-scores against -4.9 (207th to 256th).

Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 5 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Steven Adams in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Steven Adams produces more: 33.6 fantasy points to 29.0, on 22.8 minutes a night against 26.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Steven Adams 3. For that week alone, start Jaylen Wells: 64.0 projected fantasy points to 63.9 for Steven Adams.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJaylen WellsSteven Adams
Fantasy points per game21.321.3
Minutes26.522.8
PointsPTS12.55.8
ReboundsREB3.38.6
AssistsAST1.51.5
StealsSTL1.10.7
BlocksBLK0.10.6
Threes3PM1.80.0
Field goal %FG%43.5%50.4%
Free throw %FT%75.0%58.0%
TurnoversTO1.01.1
Games, 2025-266932

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jaylen WellsSteven Adams
Fantasy points29.033.6
Points17.09.2
Rebounds4.513.6
Assists2.02.4
Steals1.51.1
Blocks0.21.0
Threes2.50.0
Turnovers1.41.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJaylen WellsSteven Adams
PointsPTS-0.7-1.8
ReboundsREB-1.1+1.3
AssistsAST-1.1-1.1
StealsSTL+0.2-0.9
BlocksBLK-1.1-0.1
Threes3PM+0.2-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.4-1.7
TurnoversTO+1.1+1.0
Total-3.8-4.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Steven Adams.

PuntJaylen WellsSteven Adams
PTS-3.2 (#231)-3.1 (#224)
REB-2.9 (#186)-6.8 (#365)
AST-2.8 (#191)-3.8 (#235)
STL-4.1 (#242)-4.1 (#237)
BLK-2.9 (#167)-5.3 (#290)
3PM-4.1 (#226)-3.1 (#191)
FG%-3.3 (#168)-6.0 (#292)
FT%-3.5 (#198)-3.1 (#178)
TO-5.0 (#212)-6.1 (#254)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jaylen Wells: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
  • Steven Adams: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jaylen Wells: 30.0 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.3 on the board.
  • Steven Adams: 21.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 21.3 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jaylen Wells playing tonight? · Is Steven Adams playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jaylen Wells or Steven Adams?

    Points leagues: Jaylen Wells. 21.3 fantasy points per game against 21.3, 187th on our board to 189th. 9-cat leagues: Jaylen Wells again, -3.8 in summed z-scores against -4.9 (207th to 256th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jaylen Wells or Steven Adams?

    Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 5 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Steven Adams in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jaylen Wells or Steven Adams?

    Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Steven Adams 3. For that week alone, start Jaylen Wells: 64.0 projected fantasy points to 63.9 for Steven Adams.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number