Anthony Davis vs Chet Holmgren: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Anthony Davis in points leagues (44.0 fantasy points a game to 36.3) and Chet Holmgren in 9-cat leagues (18th against 19th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #13
- 44.0 FP/G, slot 2.01, $32
- 9-cat leagues
- #19
- +3.0 z, slot 2.07, $32
Day to day (Rest)
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #43
- 36.3 FP/G, slot 4.07, $20
- 9-cat leagues
- #18
- +3.1 z, slot 2.06, $32
Game-time decision (Quadriceps)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Anthony Davis. 44.0 fantasy points per game against 36.3, 13th on our board to 43rd.
9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren instead, +3.1 in summed z-scores against +3.0 (18th to 19th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Anthony Davis is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and STL) and Chet Holmgren in 5 (BLK, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Anthony Davis produces more: 50.6 fantasy points to 45.2, on 31.3 minutes a night against 28.9. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Anthony Davis plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Chet Holmgren 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Davis: 132.0 projected fantasy points to 109.0 for Chet Holmgren.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Anthony Davis | Chet Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 44.0 | 36.3 |
| Minutes | 31.3 | 28.9 |
| PointsPTS | 20.4 | 17.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 11.1 | 8.9 |
| AssistsAST | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| StealsSTL | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Threes3PM | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 50.6% | 55.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 72.8% | 79.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 20 | 69 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Anthony Davis | Chet Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 50.6 | 45.2 |
| Points | 23.4 | 21.3 |
| Rebounds | 12.7 | 11.1 |
| Assists | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Threes | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Anthony Davis | Chet Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.6 | +0.1 |
| ReboundsREB | +2.3 | +1.4 |
| AssistsAST | -0.4 | -1.0 |
| StealsSTL | +0.2 | -1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | +2.0 | +2.5 |
| Threes3PM | -1.2 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.5 | +1.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.2 | +0.4 |
| Total | +3.0 | +3.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting blocks, threes, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Anthony Davis.
| Punt | Anthony Davis | Chet Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +2.3 (#15) | +2.9 (#9) |
| REB | +0.4 (#51) | +1.5 (#32) |
| AST | +3.4 (#10) | +4.1 (#7) |
| STL | +2.7 (#16) | +4.1 (#9) |
| BLK | +0.7 (#44) | +0.4 (#54) |
| 3PM | +4.1 (#7) | +3.4 (#12) |
| FG% | +2.0 (#31) | +1.6 (#34) |
| FT% | +3.9 (#8) | +3.2 (#13) |
| TO | +3.2 (#22) | +2.5 (#27) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Anthony Davis: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Chet Holmgren: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC), listed GTD.
Recent games
- Anthony Davis: 44.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 44.0 on the board.
- Chet Holmgren: 35.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 36.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Anthony Davis or Chet Holmgren in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Anthony Davis. 44.0 fantasy points per game against 36.3, 13th on our board to 43rd. 9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren instead, +3.1 in summed z-scores against +3.0 (18th to 19th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Anthony Davis or Chet Holmgren?
Category by category, Anthony Davis is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and STL) and Chet Holmgren in 5 (BLK, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Anthony Davis or Chet Holmgren?
Anthony Davis plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Chet Holmgren 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Davis: 132.0 projected fantasy points to 109.0 for Chet Holmgren.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number