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Austin Reaves vs Jimmy Butler III: who to start in Week 1

Austin Reaves plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jimmy Butler III 3. For that week alone, start Austin Reaves: 116.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jimmy Butler III. Over the season, Austin Reaves leads in points leagues (38.9 fantasy points a game to 37.4) and Jimmy Butler III in 9-cat leagues (18th against 21st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 2:56 AM ET.

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Austin Reaves
SGPGLALage 28
Points leagues
#35
38.9 FP/G, slot 3.11, $25
9-cat leagues
#21
+2.6 z, slot 2.09, $30

The pick in points leagues.

Jimmy Butler III
SFPFSGGSWage 37OUT
Points leagues
#40
37.4 FP/G, slot 4.04, $22
9-cat leagues
#18
+3.1 z, slot 2.06, $32

Out (Knee)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Austin Reaves. 38.9 fantasy points per game against 37.4, 35th on our board to 40th.

9-cat leagues: Jimmy Butler III instead, +3.1 in summed z-scores against +2.6 (18th to 21st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Austin Reaves is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Jimmy Butler III in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Jimmy Butler III produces more: 43.2 fantasy points to 40.7, on 31.1 minutes a night against 34.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Austin Reaves plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jimmy Butler III 3. For that week alone, start Austin Reaves: 116.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jimmy Butler III.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAustin ReavesJimmy Butler III
Fantasy points per game38.937.4
Minutes34.431.1
PointsPTS23.320.0
ReboundsREB4.75.6
AssistsAST5.54.9
StealsSTL1.21.4
BlocksBLK0.40.2
Threes3PM2.20.8
Field goal %FG%49.2%51.9%
Free throw %FT%88.1%86.4%
TurnoversTO3.01.6
Games, 2025-265138

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Austin ReavesJimmy Butler III
Fantasy points40.743.2
Points24.323.1
Rebounds4.96.4
Assists5.85.6
Steals1.21.7
Blocks0.50.2
Threes2.31.0
Turnovers3.21.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAustin ReavesJimmy Butler III
PointsPTS+1.2+0.6
ReboundsREB-0.5-0.1
AssistsAST+1.0+0.6
StealsSTL+0.4+1.2
BlocksBLK-0.5-1.0
Threes3PM+0.6-0.8
Field goal percentageFG%+0.1+0.6
Free throw percentageFT%+1.9+1.5
TurnoversTO-1.5+0.4
Total+2.6+3.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, steals, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Austin Reaves.

PuntAustin ReavesJimmy Butler III
PTS+1.4 (#26)+2.4 (#11)
REB+3.3 (#15)+3.1 (#18)
AST+1.5 (#27)+2.4 (#18)
STL+2.2 (#22)+1.8 (#25)
BLK+3.2 (#17)+4.0 (#12)
3PM+1.8 (#25)+3.7 (#11)
FG%+2.7 (#23)+2.3 (#26)
FT%+0.5 (#48)+1.5 (#32)
TO+4.1 (#16)+2.7 (#26)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Austin Reaves: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
  • Jimmy Butler III: 3 games (Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Austin Reaves: 41.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 38.9 on the board.
  • Jimmy Butler III: 38.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 37.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Austin Reaves playing tonight? · Is Jimmy Butler III playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Austin Reaves or Jimmy Butler III?

    Points leagues: Austin Reaves. 38.9 fantasy points per game against 37.4, 35th on our board to 40th. 9-cat leagues: Jimmy Butler III instead, +3.1 in summed z-scores against +2.6 (18th to 21st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Austin Reaves or Jimmy Butler III?

    Category by category, Austin Reaves is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Jimmy Butler III in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Austin Reaves or Jimmy Butler III?

    Austin Reaves plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jimmy Butler III 3. For that week alone, start Austin Reaves: 116.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jimmy Butler III.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:56 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number