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Brandon Miller vs Darius Garland: who to start in Week 1

Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Darius Garland 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 98.9 projected fantasy points to 97.5 for Darius Garland. Over the season, Brandon Miller leads in both formats: 33.0 fantasy points a game to 32.5, and 67th against 100th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET.

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Brandon Miller
SFPFSGCHAage 23
Points leagues
#63
33.0 FP/G, slot 6.03, $16
9-cat leagues
#67
-0.4 z, slot 6.07, $13

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Darius Garland
PGLACage 26
Points leagues
#65
32.5 FP/G, slot 6.05, $15
9-cat leagues
#100
-1.3 z, slot 9.04, $9

The call

Points leagues: Brandon Miller. 33.0 fantasy points per game against 32.5, 63rd on our board to 65th.

9-cat leagues: Brandon Miller again, -0.4 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (67th to 100th).

Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Darius Garland in 2 (AST and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Darius Garland produces more: 39.0 fantasy points to 38.8, on 30.0 minutes a night against 30.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Darius Garland 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 98.9 projected fantasy points to 97.5 for Darius Garland.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameBrandon MillerDarius Garland
Fantasy points per game33.032.5
Minutes30.630.0
PointsPTS20.019.5
ReboundsREB4.82.3
AssistsAST3.26.5
StealsSTL1.01.0
BlocksBLK0.70.2
Threes3PM3.12.7
Field goal %FG%42.7%46.9%
Free throw %FT%87.8%82.2%
TurnoversTO2.52.9
Games, 2025-266545

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Brandon MillerDarius Garland
Fantasy points38.839.0
Points23.523.4
Rebounds5.62.8
Assists3.87.8
Steals1.11.1
Blocks0.80.2
Threes3.73.3
Turnovers3.03.5

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryBrandon MillerDarius Garland
PointsPTS+0.6+0.5
ReboundsREB-0.5-1.6
AssistsAST-0.2+1.5
StealsSTL-0.2-0.2
BlocksBLK+0.0-1.1
Threes3PM+1.5+1.1
Field goal percentageFG%-1.6-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%+0.8+0.2
TurnoversTO-0.9-1.3
Total-0.4-1.3

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds and blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Darius Garland.

PuntBrandon MillerDarius Garland
PTS-1.0 (#107)-1.9 (#157)
REB+0.2 (#52)+0.4 (#50)
AST-0.3 (#69)-2.9 (#195)
STL-0.2 (#69)-1.2 (#103)
BLK-0.4 (#71)-0.2 (#64)
3PM-2.0 (#138)-2.5 (#161)
FG%+1.5 (#35)-0.8 (#80)
FT%-1.3 (#107)-1.7 (#125)
TO+0.5 (#54)+0.0 (#61)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Brandon Miller: 3 games (Wed @BKN, Fri ATL, Sat MIA), 1 back-to-back.
  • Darius Garland: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Brandon Miller: 23.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 33.0 on the board.
  • Darius Garland: 37.2 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 32.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Brandon Miller playing tonight? · Is Darius Garland playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Brandon Miller, Darius Garland

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Miller or Darius Garland?

    Points leagues: Brandon Miller. 33.0 fantasy points per game against 32.5, 63rd on our board to 65th. 9-cat leagues: Brandon Miller again, -0.4 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (67th to 100th).

  • Who wins more categories, Brandon Miller or Darius Garland?

    Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Darius Garland in 2 (AST and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Brandon Miller or Darius Garland?

    Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Darius Garland 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 98.9 projected fantasy points to 97.5 for Darius Garland.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number