Brandon Miller vs Jalen Williams: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Brandon Miller in both formats: 33.6 fantasy points a game to 33.3 in points leagues, and 53rd against 83rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #61
- 33.6 FP/G, slot 6.01, $16
- 9-cat leagues
- #53
- +0.3 z, slot 5.05, $17
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #63
- 33.3 FP/G, slot 6.03, $16
- 9-cat leagues
- #83
- -0.6 z, slot 7.11, $12
Game-time decision (Rest)
The call
Points leagues: draft Brandon Miller. 33.6 fantasy points per game against 33.3, 61st on our board to 63rd.
9-cat leagues: Brandon Miller again, +0.3 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (53rd to 83rd).
Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Jalen Williams in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Jalen Williams produces more: 42.2 fantasy points to 40.0, on 28.4 minutes a night against 30.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jalen Williams 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 100.9 projected fantasy points to 99.8 for Jalen Williams.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Brandon Miller | Jalen Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 33.6 | 33.3 |
| Minutes | 30.3 | 28.4 |
| PointsPTS | 20.2 | 17.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.9 | 4.6 |
| AssistsAST | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 43.5% | 48.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 89.2% | 83.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 65 | 33 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Brandon Miller | Jalen Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 40.0 | 42.2 |
| Points | 24.0 | 21.7 |
| Rebounds | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Assists | 4.0 | 7.0 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Brandon Miller | Jalen Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.6 | +0.1 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.4 | -0.6 |
| AssistsAST | -0.2 | +0.9 |
| StealsSTL | -0.0 | +0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.0 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | +1.5 | -1.0 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.4 | -0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.0 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| Total | +0.3 | -0.6 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting threes flips the 9-cat answer to Jalen Williams.
| Punt | Brandon Miller | Jalen Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.4 (#79) | -0.7 (#94) |
| REB | +0.8 (#39) | -0.2 (#62) |
| AST | +0.4 (#47) | -1.6 (#131) |
| STL | +0.3 (#51) | -1.2 (#103) |
| BLK | +0.4 (#56) | +0.1 (#63) |
| 3PM | -1.3 (#104) | +0.2 (#58) |
| FG% | +2.0 (#30) | -0.9 (#84) |
| FT% | -0.8 (#87) | -1.2 (#103) |
| TO | +1.2 (#48) | -0.6 (#74) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Brandon Miller: 3 games (Wed @BKN, Fri ATL, Sat MIA), 1 back-to-back.
- Jalen Williams: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC), listed GTD.
Recent games
- Brandon Miller: 30.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 33.6 on the board.
- Jalen Williams: 29.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 33.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Brandon Miller or Jalen Williams in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Brandon Miller. 33.6 fantasy points per game against 33.3, 61st on our board to 63rd. 9-cat leagues: Brandon Miller again, +0.3 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (53rd to 83rd).
Who wins more categories, Brandon Miller or Jalen Williams?
Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Jalen Williams in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Brandon Miller or Jalen Williams?
Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jalen Williams 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 100.9 projected fantasy points to 99.8 for Jalen Williams.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number