Brandon Miller vs Grayson Allen: who to start in Week 1
Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Grayson Allen 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 98.9 projected fantasy points to 86.7 for Grayson Allen. Over the season, Brandon Miller leads in both formats: 33.0 fantasy points a game to 28.9, and 67th against 69th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #63
- 33.0 FP/G, slot 6.03, $16
- 9-cat leagues
- #67
- -0.4 z, slot 6.07, $13
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #97
- 28.9 FP/G, slot 9.01, $10
- 9-cat leagues
- #69
- -0.4 z, slot 6.09, $13
The call
Points leagues: Brandon Miller. 33.0 fantasy points per game against 28.9, 63rd on our board to 97th.
9-cat leagues: Brandon Miller again, -0.4 in summed z-scores against -0.4 (67th to 69th).
Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FT%) and Grayson Allen in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Brandon Miller produces more: 38.8 fantasy points to 36.2, on 30.6 minutes a night against 28.8. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Grayson Allen 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 98.9 projected fantasy points to 86.7 for Grayson Allen.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Brandon Miller | Grayson Allen |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 33.0 | 28.9 |
| Minutes | 30.6 | 28.8 |
| PointsPTS | 20.0 | 16.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.8 | 3.0 |
| AssistsAST | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 42.7% | 41.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 87.8% | 86.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 65 | 51 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Brandon Miller | Grayson Allen |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 38.8 | 36.2 |
| Points | 23.5 | 21.0 |
| Rebounds | 5.6 | 3.8 |
| Assists | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 2.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Brandon Miller | Grayson Allen |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.6 | +0.1 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.5 | -1.2 |
| AssistsAST | -0.2 | +0.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.2 | +0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.0 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | +1.5 | +1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.6 | -1.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.8 | +0.7 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.9 | +0.1 |
| Total | -0.4 | -0.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, blocks and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Grayson Allen.
| Punt | Brandon Miller | Grayson Allen |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.0 (#107) | -0.5 (#80) |
| REB | +0.2 (#52) | +0.9 (#39) |
| AST | -0.3 (#69) | -0.6 (#78) |
| STL | -0.2 (#69) | -1.2 (#99) |
| BLK | -0.4 (#71) | +0.5 (#46) |
| 3PM | -2.0 (#138) | -2.1 (#144) |
| FG% | +1.5 (#35) | +1.4 (#39) |
| FT% | -1.3 (#107) | -1.2 (#103) |
| TO | +0.5 (#54) | -0.5 (#69) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Brandon Miller: 3 games (Wed @BKN, Fri ATL, Sat MIA), 1 back-to-back.
- Grayson Allen: 3 games (Wed @BKN, Fri ATL, Sat MIA), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Brandon Miller: 23.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 33.0 on the board.
- Grayson Allen: 26.6 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 28.9 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Brandon Miller playing tonight? · Is Grayson Allen playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Brandon Miller
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Miller or Grayson Allen?
Points leagues: Brandon Miller. 33.0 fantasy points per game against 28.9, 63rd on our board to 97th. 9-cat leagues: Brandon Miller again, -0.4 in summed z-scores against -0.4 (67th to 69th).
Who wins more categories, Brandon Miller or Grayson Allen?
Category by category, Brandon Miller is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FT%) and Grayson Allen in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Brandon Miller or Grayson Allen?
Brandon Miller plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Grayson Allen 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Miller: 98.9 projected fantasy points to 86.7 for Grayson Allen.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number