Bub Carrington vs Cason Wallace: who to start in Week 1
Bub Carrington plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cason Wallace 3. For that week alone, start Bub Carrington: 65.8 projected fantasy points to 65.1 for Cason Wallace. Over the season, Bub Carrington leads in points leagues (21.9 fantasy points a game to 21.7) and Cason Wallace in 9-cat leagues (105th against 246th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 9:54 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #177
- 21.9 FP/G, slot 15.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #246
- -4.6 z, slot 21.06
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #180
- 21.7 FP/G, slot 15.12
- 9-cat leagues
- #105
- -1.4 z, slot 9.09, $8
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Bub Carrington. 21.9 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 177th on our board to 180th.
9-cat leagues: Cason Wallace instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -4.6 (105th to 246th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Bub Carrington is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM) and Cason Wallace in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Cason Wallace produces more: 29.9 fantasy points to 29.1, on 26.1 minutes a night against 27.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Bub Carrington plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cason Wallace 3. For that week alone, start Bub Carrington: 65.8 projected fantasy points to 65.1 for Cason Wallace.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Bub Carrington | Cason Wallace |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.9 | 21.7 |
| Minutes | 27.2 | 26.1 |
| PointsPTS | 10.7 | 8.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| AssistsAST | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 42.7% | 42.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.4% | 80.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 82 | 77 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Bub Carrington | Cason Wallace |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 29.1 | 29.9 |
| Points | 14.1 | 11.6 |
| Rebounds | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Assists | 6.1 | 3.5 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Bub Carrington | Cason Wallace |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.0 | -1.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.2 | -1.2 |
| AssistsAST | +0.5 | -0.5 |
| StealsSTL | -0.8 | +2.4 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | -0.7 |
| Threes3PM | +0.4 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.9 | -0.7 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | +0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.5 | +1.1 |
| Total | -4.6 | -1.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Bub Carrington.
| Punt | Bub Carrington | Cason Wallace |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.7 (#260) | -0.1 (#60) |
| REB | -3.6 (#233) | -0.3 (#63) |
| AST | -5.2 (#296) | -0.9 (#93) |
| STL | -3.9 (#222) | -3.9 (#226) |
| BLK | -3.8 (#222) | -0.8 (#80) |
| 3PM | -5.1 (#284) | -1.0 (#95) |
| FG% | -4.0 (#207) | -0.8 (#81) |
| FT% | -4.5 (#245) | -1.4 (#110) |
| TO | -4.3 (#186) | -2.6 (#127) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Bub Carrington: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.
- Cason Wallace: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC).
Recent games
- Bub Carrington: 22.2 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.9 on the board.
- Cason Wallace: 14.6 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Bub Carrington playing tonight? · Is Cason Wallace playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Bub Carrington or Cason Wallace?
Points leagues: Bub Carrington. 21.9 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 177th on our board to 180th. 9-cat leagues: Cason Wallace instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -4.6 (105th to 246th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Bub Carrington or Cason Wallace?
Category by category, Bub Carrington is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM) and Cason Wallace in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Bub Carrington or Cason Wallace?
Bub Carrington plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cason Wallace 3. For that week alone, start Bub Carrington: 65.8 projected fantasy points to 65.1 for Cason Wallace.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 9:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number