Cam Spencer vs Daniel Gafford: who to start in Week 1
Cam Spencer plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Daniel Gafford 3. For that week alone, start Daniel Gafford: 70.6 projected fantasy points to 67.3 for Cam Spencer. Over the season, Daniel Gafford leads in both formats: 23.5 fantasy points a game to 22.4, and 133rd against 135th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #159
- 22.4 FP/G, slot 14.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #135
- -2.1 z, slot 12.03, $3
- Points leagues
- #151
- 23.5 FP/G, slot 13.07, $2
- 9-cat leagues
- #133
- -2.0 z, slot 12.01, $4
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Daniel Gafford. 23.5 fantasy points per game against 22.4, 151st on our board to 159th.
9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.1 (133rd to 135th).
Category by category, Cam Spencer is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Daniel Gafford in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Daniel Gafford produces more: 39.8 fantasy points to 35.2, on 21.3 minutes a night against 22.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Cam Spencer plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Daniel Gafford 3. For that week alone, start Daniel Gafford: 70.6 projected fantasy points to 67.3 for Cam Spencer.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Cam Spencer | Daniel Gafford |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.4 | 23.5 |
| Minutes | 22.9 | 21.3 |
| PointsPTS | 10.6 | 8.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.5 | 6.4 |
| AssistsAST | 5.1 | 1.3 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 1.3 |
| Threes3PM | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.1% | 64.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 94.0% | 66.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 55 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Cam Spencer | Daniel Gafford |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 35.2 | 39.8 |
| Points | 16.6 | 14.8 |
| Rebounds | 4.0 | 10.9 |
| Assists | 8.0 | 2.2 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Threes | 3.2 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Cam Spencer | Daniel Gafford |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.0 | -1.3 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.5 | +0.3 |
| AssistsAST | +0.8 | -1.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.9 | -0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.1 | +1.4 |
| Threes3PM | +0.4 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.2 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.7 | -1.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.7 | +1.0 |
| Total | -2.1 | -2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, steals, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Cam Spencer.
| Punt | Cam Spencer | Daniel Gafford |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.1 (#114) | -0.8 (#95) |
| REB | -0.6 (#81) | -2.7 (#176) |
| AST | -2.8 (#192) | -1.0 (#97) |
| STL | -1.3 (#110) | -1.4 (#115) |
| BLK | -1.0 (#89) | -3.8 (#215) |
| 3PM | -2.5 (#167) | -0.3 (#71) |
| FG% | -1.8 (#115) | -4.3 (#217) |
| FT% | -2.9 (#173) | -0.8 (#88) |
| TO | -2.8 (#136) | -3.2 (#146) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Cam Spencer: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
- Daniel Gafford: 3 games (Wed @HOU, Fri @IND, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Cam Spencer: 12.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 22.4 on the board.
- Daniel Gafford: 18.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 23.5 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Cam Spencer playing tonight? · Is Daniel Gafford playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Cam Spencer
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Cam Spencer or Daniel Gafford?
Points leagues: Daniel Gafford. 23.5 fantasy points per game against 22.4, 151st on our board to 159th. 9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.1 (133rd to 135th).
Who wins more categories, Cam Spencer or Daniel Gafford?
Category by category, Cam Spencer is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Daniel Gafford in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Cam Spencer or Daniel Gafford?
Cam Spencer plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Daniel Gafford 3. For that week alone, start Daniel Gafford: 70.6 projected fantasy points to 67.3 for Cam Spencer.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number