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Daniel Gafford vs Nic Claxton: who to start in Week 1

Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Nic Claxton 3. For that week alone, start Daniel Gafford: 71.1 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Nic Claxton. Over the season, Nic Claxton leads in points leagues (29.5 fantasy points a game to 23.7) and Daniel Gafford in 9-cat leagues (131st against 132nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 23, 9:47 PM ET.

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Daniel Gafford
CDALage 28
Points leagues
#150
23.7 FP/G, slot 13.06, $2
9-cat leagues
#131
-2.1 z, slot 11.11, $4

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Nic Claxton
CPFCHIage 27OUT
Points leagues
#89
29.5 FP/G, slot 8.05, $11
9-cat leagues
#132
-2.1 z, slot 11.12, $4

Out (Hamstring)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Nic Claxton. 29.5 fantasy points per game against 23.7, 89th on our board to 150th.

9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -2.1 (131st to 132nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Nic Claxton in 3 (PTS, REB and AST).

Per 36 minutes, Daniel Gafford produces more: 39.2 fantasy points to 38.1, on 21.7 minutes a night against 27.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Nic Claxton 3. For that week alone, start Daniel Gafford: 71.1 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Nic Claxton.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDaniel GaffordNic Claxton
Fantasy points per game23.729.5
Minutes21.727.8
PointsPTS9.111.7
ReboundsREB6.66.9
AssistsAST1.13.7
StealsSTL0.80.7
BlocksBLK1.31.1
Threes3PM0.00.0
Field goal %FG%64.8%57.1%
Free throw %FT%66.8%61.6%
TurnoversTO1.11.4
Games, 2025-265569

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Daniel GaffordNic Claxton
Fantasy points39.238.1
Points15.015.2
Rebounds11.09.0
Assists1.74.7
Steals1.30.8
Blocks2.21.4
Threes0.00.1
Turnovers1.91.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDaniel GaffordNic Claxton
PointsPTS-1.3-0.8
ReboundsREB+0.4+0.5
AssistsAST-1.3+0.0
StealsSTL-0.7-1.0
BlocksBLK+1.3+0.9
Threes3PM-1.7-1.6
Field goal percentageFG%+1.5+1.2
Free throw percentageFT%-1.2-1.9
TurnoversTO+0.9+0.6
Total-2.1-2.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals, blocks, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Nic Claxton.

PuntDaniel GaffordNic Claxton
PTS-0.8 (#99)-1.3 (#123)
REB-2.9 (#184)-3.2 (#202)
AST-0.8 (#90)-2.2 (#159)
STL-1.5 (#117)-1.2 (#104)
BLK-3.7 (#213)-3.4 (#196)
3PM-0.4 (#71)-0.5 (#74)
FG%-4.3 (#223)-4.2 (#217)
FT%-0.8 (#87)-0.2 (#71)
TO-3.2 (#143)-2.9 (#135)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 393 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Daniel Gafford: 3 games (Wed @HOU, Fri @IND, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.
  • Nic Claxton: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @MIL, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Daniel Gafford: 12.2 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 23.7 on the board.
  • Nic Claxton: 20.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 29.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Daniel Gafford playing tonight? · Is Nic Claxton playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Daniel Gafford or Nic Claxton?

    Points leagues: Nic Claxton. 29.5 fantasy points per game against 23.7, 89th on our board to 150th. 9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -2.1 (131st to 132nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Daniel Gafford or Nic Claxton?

    Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Nic Claxton in 3 (PTS, REB and AST).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Daniel Gafford or Nic Claxton?

    Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Nic Claxton 3. For that week alone, start Daniel Gafford: 71.1 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Nic Claxton.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 23, 2026 at 9:47 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number