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Cedric Coward vs Matisse Thybulle: who to start in Week 1

Cedric Coward plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matisse Thybulle 3. For that week alone, start Cedric Coward: 78.1 projected fantasy points to 48.0 for Matisse Thybulle. Over the season, Cedric Coward leads in points leagues (26.0 fantasy points a game to 16.0) and Matisse Thybulle in 9-cat leagues (137th against 139th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET.

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Cedric Coward
SGSFMEMage 23
Points leagues
#127
26.0 FP/G, slot 11.07, $6
9-cat leagues
#139
-2.3 z, slot 12.07, $3

The pick in points leagues.

Matisse Thybulle
SFSGLALage 29
Points leagues
#272
16.0 FP/G, slot 23.08
9-cat leagues
#137
-2.2 z, slot 12.05, $3

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Cedric Coward. 26.0 fantasy points per game against 16.0, 127th on our board to 272nd.

9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (137th to 139th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Cedric Coward is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%) and Matisse Thybulle in 3 (STL, BLK and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Cedric Coward produces more: 36.1 fantasy points to 35.0, on 25.9 minutes a night against 16.4. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Cedric Coward plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matisse Thybulle 3. For that week alone, start Cedric Coward: 78.1 projected fantasy points to 48.0 for Matisse Thybulle.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameCedric CowardMatisse Thybulle
Fantasy points per game26.016.0
Minutes25.916.4
PointsPTS13.25.6
ReboundsREB5.92.0
AssistsAST2.70.9
StealsSTL0.61.9
BlocksBLK0.50.6
Threes3PM1.51.2
Field goal %FG%47.2%42.3%
Free throw %FT%84.3%84.0%
TurnoversTO1.60.9
Games, 2025-266230

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Cedric CowardMatisse Thybulle
Fantasy points36.135.0
Points18.312.3
Rebounds8.34.4
Assists3.82.0
Steals0.84.2
Blocks0.71.2
Threes2.02.7
Turnovers2.22.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryCedric CowardMatisse Thybulle
PointsPTS-0.6-1.9
ReboundsREB+0.1-1.7
AssistsAST-0.5-1.4
StealsSTL-1.2+2.6
BlocksBLK-0.4-0.2
Threes3PM-0.2-0.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.3-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3+0.1
TurnoversTO+0.3+1.2
Total-2.3-2.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals, blocks and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Cedric Coward.

PuntCedric CowardMatisse Thybulle
PTS-1.7 (#149)-0.4 (#77)
REB-2.4 (#161)-0.7 (#77)
AST-1.9 (#143)-0.9 (#92)
STL-1.2 (#100)-4.9 (#289)
BLK-2.0 (#132)-2.1 (#136)
3PM-2.2 (#145)-1.8 (#128)
FG%-2.2 (#127)-1.9 (#118)
FT%-2.7 (#161)-2.3 (#148)
TO-2.8 (#132)-3.5 (#153)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Cedric Coward: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
  • Matisse Thybulle: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Cedric Coward: 21.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 26.0 on the board.
  • Matisse Thybulle: 13.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 16.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Cedric Coward playing tonight? · Is Matisse Thybulle playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Cedric Coward

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Cedric Coward or Matisse Thybulle?

    Points leagues: Cedric Coward. 26.0 fantasy points per game against 16.0, 127th on our board to 272nd. 9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (137th to 139th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Cedric Coward or Matisse Thybulle?

    Category by category, Cedric Coward is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%) and Matisse Thybulle in 3 (STL, BLK and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Cedric Coward or Matisse Thybulle?

    Cedric Coward plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matisse Thybulle 3. For that week alone, start Cedric Coward: 78.1 projected fantasy points to 48.0 for Matisse Thybulle.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number