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Cedric Coward vs Kelly Oubre Jr.: who to start in Week 1

Cedric Coward plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kelly Oubre Jr. 3, an even 78.1 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Cedric Coward leads in points leagues (26.0 fantasy points a game to 26.0) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 9-cat leagues (106th against 139th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET.

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Cedric Coward
SGSFMEMage 23
Points leagues
#127
26.0 FP/G, slot 11.07, $6
9-cat leagues
#139
-2.3 z, slot 12.07, $3

The pick in points leagues.

Kelly Oubre Jr.
PFSFINDage 30
Points leagues
#128
26.0 FP/G, slot 11.08, $5
9-cat leagues
#106
-1.4 z, slot 9.10, $8

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Cedric Coward. 26.0 fantasy points per game against 26.0, 127th on our board to 128th.

9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (106th to 139th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Cedric Coward is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, FG% and FT%) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Cedric Coward produces more: 36.1 fantasy points to 30.0, on 25.9 minutes a night against 31.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Cedric Coward plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kelly Oubre Jr. 3, an even 78.1 projected fantasy points each.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameCedric CowardKelly Oubre Jr.
Fantasy points per game26.026.0
Minutes25.931.3
PointsPTS13.213.5
ReboundsREB5.94.8
AssistsAST2.71.7
StealsSTL0.61.3
BlocksBLK0.50.5
Threes3PM1.51.6
Field goal %FG%47.2%46.5%
Free throw %FT%84.3%76.6%
TurnoversTO1.61.4
Games, 2025-266250

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Cedric CowardKelly Oubre Jr.
Fantasy points36.130.0
Points18.315.5
Rebounds8.35.6
Assists3.81.9
Steals0.81.5
Blocks0.70.6
Threes2.01.9
Turnovers2.21.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryCedric CowardKelly Oubre Jr.
PointsPTS-0.6-0.5
ReboundsREB+0.1-0.4
AssistsAST-0.5-1.0
StealsSTL-1.2+0.9
BlocksBLK-0.4-0.3
Threes3PM-0.2-0.0
Field goal percentageFG%-0.3-0.4
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3-0.3
TurnoversTO+0.3+0.6
Total-2.3-1.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Cedric Coward.

PuntCedric CowardKelly Oubre Jr.
PTS-1.7 (#149)-1.0 (#102)
REB-2.4 (#161)-1.2 (#97)
AST-1.9 (#143)-0.5 (#75)
STL-1.2 (#100)-2.4 (#160)
BLK-2.0 (#132)-1.2 (#97)
3PM-2.2 (#145)-1.4 (#110)
FG%-2.2 (#127)-1.3 (#96)
FT%-2.7 (#161)-1.2 (#101)
TO-2.8 (#132)-2.1 (#112)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Cedric Coward: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
  • Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).

Cedric Coward or Kelly Oubre Jr.: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Cedric Coward: 21.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 26.0 on the board.
  • Kelly Oubre Jr.: 15.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 26.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Cedric Coward playing tonight? · Is Kelly Oubre Jr. playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Cedric Coward

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Cedric Coward or Kelly Oubre Jr.?

    Points leagues: Cedric Coward. 26.0 fantasy points per game against 26.0, 127th on our board to 128th. 9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (106th to 139th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Cedric Coward or Kelly Oubre Jr.?

    Category by category, Cedric Coward is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, FG% and FT%) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Cedric Coward or Kelly Oubre Jr.?

    Cedric Coward plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kelly Oubre Jr. 3, an even 78.1 projected fantasy points each.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number