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Chet Holmgren vs Kyrie Irving: who to start in Week 3

Chet Holmgren plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kyrie Irving 4, an even 0.0 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Chet Holmgren leads in points leagues (36.0 fantasy points a game to 35.9) and Kyrie Irving in 9-cat leagues (8th against 14th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET.

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Chet Holmgren
CPFOKCage 24OUT
Points leagues
#47
36.0 FP/G, slot 4.11, $20
9-cat leagues
#14
+3.1 z, slot 2.02, $33

Out (Knee)

The pick in points leagues.

Kyrie Irving
PGSGDALage 34OUT
Points leagues
#49
35.9 FP/G, slot 5.01, $20
9-cat leagues
#8
+4.5 z, slot 1.08, $41

Out (Knee)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Chet Holmgren. 36.0 fantasy points per game against 35.9, 47th on our board to 49th.

9-cat leagues: Kyrie Irving instead, +4.5 in summed z-scores against +3.1 (8th to 14th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Chet Holmgren is ahead in 3 (REB, BLK and TO) and Kyrie Irving in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Kyrie Irving produces more: 45.2 fantasy points to 44.5, on 28.6 minutes a night against 29.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Chet Holmgren plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kyrie Irving 4, an even 0.0 projected fantasy points each.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameChet HolmgrenKyrie Irving
Fantasy points per game36.035.9
Minutes29.128.6
PointsPTS16.321.4
ReboundsREB9.03.4
AssistsAST1.64.8
StealsSTL0.61.2
BlocksBLK2.10.6
Threes3PM1.23.2
Field goal %FG%53.7%52.7%
Free throw %FT%82.6%100.0%
TurnoversTO1.62.2
Games, 2025-26690

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Chet HolmgrenKyrie Irving
Fantasy points44.545.2
Points20.126.9
Rebounds11.14.3
Assists2.06.0
Steals0.81.5
Blocks2.60.8
Threes1.54.0
Turnovers1.92.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryChet HolmgrenKyrie Irving
PointsPTS-0.1+0.9
ReboundsREB+1.4-1.0
AssistsAST-1.1+0.5
StealsSTL-1.1+0.4
BlocksBLK+2.8-0.2
Threes3PM-0.5+1.6
Field goal percentageFG%+0.9+1.0
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3+1.7
TurnoversTO+0.5-0.3
Total+3.1+4.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Chet Holmgren.

PuntChet HolmgrenKyrie Irving
PTS+3.1 (#10)+3.6 (#9)
REB+1.5 (#27)+5.6 (#8)
AST+4.2 (#9)+3.9 (#10)
STL+4.1 (#9)+4.0 (#10)
BLK-0.0 (#66)+4.8 (#7)
3PM+3.5 (#11)+2.6 (#14)
FG%+1.9 (#31)+3.9 (#11)
FT%+2.7 (#16)+2.6 (#17)
TO+2.4 (#26)+4.7 (#12)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Chet Holmgren: 4 games (Mon @CLE, Wed CLE, Fri @MEM, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
  • Kyrie Irving: 4 games (Mon SAC, Wed @SAS, Fri UTA, Sun BKN), listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 3 streamers

Recent games

  • Chet Holmgren: 34.5 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 36.0 on the board.
  • Kyrie Irving: 35.9 fantasy points a game over his last 5 of 2026-27, against 35.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Chet Holmgren playing tonight? · Is Kyrie Irving playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Chet Holmgren

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Chet Holmgren or Kyrie Irving?

    Points leagues: Chet Holmgren. 36.0 fantasy points per game against 35.9, 47th on our board to 49th. 9-cat leagues: Kyrie Irving instead, +4.5 in summed z-scores against +3.1 (8th to 14th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Chet Holmgren or Kyrie Irving?

    Category by category, Chet Holmgren is ahead in 3 (REB, BLK and TO) and Kyrie Irving in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Chet Holmgren or Kyrie Irving?

    Chet Holmgren plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kyrie Irving 4, an even 0.0 projected fantasy points each.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number