Chet Holmgren vs Walker Kessler: who to start in Week 3
Chet Holmgren plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Walker Kessler 4. For that week alone, start Walker Kessler: 152.0 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Chet Holmgren. Over the season, Walker Kessler leads in both formats: 38.0 fantasy points a game to 36.0, and 12th against 14th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #47
- 36.0 FP/G, slot 4.11, $20
- 9-cat leagues
- #14
- +3.1 z, slot 2.02, $33
Out (Knee)
- Points leagues
- #37
- 38.0 FP/G, slot 4.01, $23
- 9-cat leagues
- #12
- +3.7 z, slot 1.12, $37
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Walker Kessler. 38.0 fantasy points per game against 36.0, 37th on our board to 47th.
9-cat leagues: Walker Kessler again, +3.7 in summed z-scores against +3.1 (12th to 14th).
Category by category, Chet Holmgren is ahead in 4 (PTS, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Walker Kessler in 5 (REB, AST, STL, BLK and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Walker Kessler produces more: 44.6 fantasy points to 44.5, on 30.7 minutes a night against 29.1. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Chet Holmgren plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Walker Kessler 4. For that week alone, start Walker Kessler: 152.0 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Chet Holmgren.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Chet Holmgren | Walker Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 36.0 | 38.0 |
| Minutes | 29.1 | 30.7 |
| PointsPTS | 16.3 | 14.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 9.0 | 10.3 |
| AssistsAST | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Field goal %FG% | 53.7% | 73.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 82.6% | 62.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 69 | 5 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Chet Holmgren | Walker Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 44.5 | 44.6 |
| Points | 20.1 | 16.8 |
| Rebounds | 11.1 | 12.0 |
| Assists | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| Threes | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 2.6 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Chet Holmgren | Walker Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.1 | -0.4 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.4 | +1.9 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | -0.9 |
| StealsSTL | -1.1 | +0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | +2.8 | +3.5 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | -1.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.9 | +3.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.3 | -2.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.5 | -0.4 |
| Total | +3.1 | +3.7 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, steals, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Chet Holmgren.
| Punt | Chet Holmgren | Walker Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +3.1 (#10) | +4.0 (#7) |
| REB | +1.5 (#27) | +1.4 (#28) |
| AST | +4.2 (#9) | +4.5 (#8) |
| STL | +4.1 (#9) | +3.1 (#13) |
| BLK | -0.0 (#66) | -0.1 (#68) |
| 3PM | +3.5 (#11) | +4.9 (#5) |
| FG% | +1.9 (#31) | -0.2 (#60) |
| FT% | +2.7 (#16) | +5.8 (#4) |
| TO | +2.4 (#26) | +3.8 (#17) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Chet Holmgren: 4 games (Mon @CLE, Wed CLE, Fri @MEM, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
- Walker Kessler: 4 games (Mon MIA, Wed @SAC, Fri POR, Sun @DET), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Chet Holmgren: 34.5 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 36.0 on the board.
- Walker Kessler: 38.2 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 38.0 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Chet Holmgren playing tonight? · Is Walker Kessler playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Chet Holmgren
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Chet Holmgren or Walker Kessler?
Points leagues: Walker Kessler. 38.0 fantasy points per game against 36.0, 37th on our board to 47th. 9-cat leagues: Walker Kessler again, +3.7 in summed z-scores against +3.1 (12th to 14th).
Who wins more categories, Chet Holmgren or Walker Kessler?
Category by category, Chet Holmgren is ahead in 4 (PTS, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Walker Kessler in 5 (REB, AST, STL, BLK and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Chet Holmgren or Walker Kessler?
Chet Holmgren plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Walker Kessler 4. For that week alone, start Walker Kessler: 152.0 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Chet Holmgren.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number