Collin Sexton vs Dylan Harper: who to start in Week 1
Collin Sexton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Dylan Harper 3. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 72.8 for Dylan Harper. Over the season, Collin Sexton leads in both formats: 24.3 fantasy points a game to 24.3, and 148th against 181st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #142
- 24.3 FP/G, slot 12.10, $4
- 9-cat leagues
- #148
- -2.3 z, slot 13.04, $2
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #144
- 24.3 FP/G, slot 12.12, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #181
- -3.3 z, slot 16.01
The call
Points leagues: Collin Sexton. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 24.3, 142nd on our board to 144th.
9-cat leagues: Collin Sexton again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -3.3 (148th to 181st).
Category by category, Collin Sexton is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Dylan Harper in 5 (REB, AST, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Collin Sexton produces more: 37.7 fantasy points to 36.5, on 23.3 minutes a night against 23.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Collin Sexton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Dylan Harper 3. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 72.8 for Dylan Harper.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Collin Sexton | Dylan Harper |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.3 | 24.3 |
| Minutes | 23.3 | 23.9 |
| PointsPTS | 14.8 | 12.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| AssistsAST | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| StealsSTL | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.0% | 49.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 85.5% | 78.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 68 | 69 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Collin Sexton | Dylan Harper |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 37.7 | 36.5 |
| Points | 22.9 | 19.0 |
| Rebounds | 3.4 | 5.4 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 5.7 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 2.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Collin Sexton | Dylan Harper |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.3 | -0.6 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.6 | -1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -0.2 | +0.1 |
| StealsSTL | +0.6 | -0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.1 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.0 | -0.8 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.1 | +0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.7 | -0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.2 | +0.6 |
| Total | -2.3 | -3.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Dylan Harper.
| Punt | Collin Sexton | Dylan Harper |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.0 (#169) | -2.7 (#201) |
| REB | -0.7 (#82) | -2.4 (#159) |
| AST | -2.1 (#157) | -3.4 (#218) |
| STL | -2.9 (#182) | -2.5 (#165) |
| BLK | -1.2 (#98) | -2.7 (#156) |
| 3PM | -2.4 (#156) | -2.5 (#166) |
| FG% | -2.3 (#135) | -3.9 (#198) |
| FT% | -3.0 (#179) | -3.2 (#184) |
| TO | -2.2 (#116) | -4.0 (#175) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Collin Sexton: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
- Dylan Harper: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Collin Sexton: 17.2 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 24.3 on the board.
- Dylan Harper: 29.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 24.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Collin Sexton playing tonight? · Is Dylan Harper playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Dylan Harper
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Collin Sexton or Dylan Harper?
Points leagues: Collin Sexton. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 24.3, 142nd on our board to 144th. 9-cat leagues: Collin Sexton again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -3.3 (148th to 181st).
Who wins more categories, Collin Sexton or Dylan Harper?
Category by category, Collin Sexton is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Dylan Harper in 5 (REB, AST, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Collin Sexton or Dylan Harper?
Collin Sexton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Dylan Harper 3. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 72.8 for Dylan Harper.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number