Collin Sexton vs Keldon Johnson: who to start in Week 3
Collin Sexton plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Keldon Johnson 4. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 89.6 projected fantasy points to 86.4 for Keldon Johnson. Over the season, Collin Sexton leads in both formats: 22.4 fantasy points a game to 21.6, and 201st against 204th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #172
- 22.4 FP/G, slot 15.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #201
- -3.8 z, slot 17.09
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #187
- 21.6 FP/G, slot 16.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #204
- -3.9 z, slot 17.12
The call
Points leagues: Collin Sexton. 22.4 fantasy points per game against 21.6, 172nd on our board to 187th.
9-cat leagues: Collin Sexton again, -3.8 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (201st to 204th).
Category by category, Collin Sexton is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Keldon Johnson in 3 (REB, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Collin Sexton produces more: 37.1 fantasy points to 33.5, on 21.7 minutes a night against 23.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Collin Sexton plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Keldon Johnson 4. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 89.6 projected fantasy points to 86.4 for Keldon Johnson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Collin Sexton | Keldon Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.4 | 21.6 |
| Minutes | 21.7 | 23.2 |
| PointsPTS | 13.6 | 11.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.2 | 5.4 |
| AssistsAST | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Threes3PM | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.3% | 51.2% |
| Free throw %FT% | 81.3% | 76.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 68 | 82 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Collin Sexton | Keldon Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 37.1 | 33.5 |
| Points | 22.6 | 18.5 |
| Rebounds | 3.6 | 8.4 |
| Assists | 5.1 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Threes | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 1.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Collin Sexton | Keldon Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.6 | -0.2 |
| AssistsAST | -0.4 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | -0.2 | -1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.1 | -1.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.3 | -0.8 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.1 | +0.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | -0.3 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.2 | +1.5 |
| Total | -3.8 | -3.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Keldon Johnson.
| Punt | Collin Sexton | Keldon Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.3 (#242) | -3.0 (#219) |
| REB | -2.4 (#155) | -3.9 (#240) |
| AST | -3.6 (#224) | -2.7 (#185) |
| STL | -3.7 (#234) | -2.7 (#174) |
| BLK | -2.9 (#166) | -3.0 (#169) |
| 3PM | -3.6 (#218) | -3.1 (#190) |
| FG% | -3.9 (#202) | -4.7 (#247) |
| FT% | -4.0 (#222) | -3.6 (#207) |
| TO | -4.1 (#177) | -5.6 (#234) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Collin Sexton: 4 games (Mon MIA, Wed @SAC, Fri POR, Sun @DET), 1 back-to-back.
- Keldon Johnson: 4 games (Mon UTA, Wed DAL, Fri @SAC, Sat @POR), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Collin Sexton: 17.3 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 22.4 on the board.
- Keldon Johnson: 18.8 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 21.6 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Collin Sexton playing tonight? · Is Keldon Johnson playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Collin Sexton or Keldon Johnson?
Points leagues: Collin Sexton. 22.4 fantasy points per game against 21.6, 172nd on our board to 187th. 9-cat leagues: Collin Sexton again, -3.8 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (201st to 204th).
Who wins more categories, Collin Sexton or Keldon Johnson?
Category by category, Collin Sexton is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Keldon Johnson in 3 (REB, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Collin Sexton or Keldon Johnson?
Collin Sexton plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Keldon Johnson 4. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 89.6 projected fantasy points to 86.4 for Keldon Johnson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number