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Daniel Gafford vs Matisse Thybulle: who to start in Week 2

Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Matisse Thybulle 4. For that week alone, start Daniel Gafford: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 68.4 for Matisse Thybulle. Over the season, Daniel Gafford leads in both formats: 24.3 fantasy points a game to 17.1, and 112th against 114th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 26, 6:30 PM ET.

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Daniel Gafford
CDALage 28
Points leagues
#142
24.3 FP/G, slot 12.10, $3
9-cat leagues
#112
-1.5 z, slot 10.04, $7

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Matisse Thybulle
SFSGLALage 29
Points leagues
#245
17.1 FP/G, slot 21.05
9-cat leagues
#114
-1.5 z, slot 10.06, $7

The call

Points leagues: Daniel Gafford. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 17.1, 142nd on our board to 245th.

9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford again, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.5 (112th to 114th).

Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and FG%) and Matisse Thybulle in 4 (STL, 3PM, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Daniel Gafford produces more: 41.0 fantasy points to 35.4, on 21.4 minutes a night against 17.4. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Matisse Thybulle 4. For that week alone, start Daniel Gafford: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 68.4 for Matisse Thybulle.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDaniel GaffordMatisse Thybulle
Fantasy points per game24.317.1
Minutes21.417.4
PointsPTS8.96.3
ReboundsREB6.61.9
AssistsAST1.31.0
StealsSTL0.92.0
BlocksBLK1.40.6
Threes3PM0.01.4
Field goal %FG%64.3%44.8%
Free throw %FT%66.8%84.0%
TurnoversTO1.20.8
Games, 2025-265530

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Daniel GaffordMatisse Thybulle
Fantasy points41.035.4
Points15.013.1
Rebounds11.04.0
Assists2.22.0
Steals1.44.1
Blocks2.31.3
Threes0.02.9
Turnovers2.01.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDaniel GaffordMatisse Thybulle
PointsPTS-1.3-1.8
ReboundsREB+0.4-1.7
AssistsAST-1.2-1.3
StealsSTL-0.5+2.5
BlocksBLK+1.5-0.1
Threes3PM-1.7-0.3
Field goal percentageFG%+1.5-0.3
Free throw percentageFT%-1.1+0.1
TurnoversTO+0.9+1.3
Total-1.5-1.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, rebounds, assists, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Matisse Thybulle.

PuntDaniel GaffordMatisse Thybulle
PTS-0.2 (#66)+0.1 (#55)
REB-2.3 (#152)+0.1 (#51)
AST-0.3 (#66)-0.3 (#64)
STL-1.1 (#105)-4.2 (#253)
BLK-3.3 (#180)-1.5 (#115)
3PM+0.3 (#49)-1.3 (#106)
FG%-3.6 (#190)-1.3 (#96)
FT%-0.4 (#70)-1.7 (#122)
TO-2.5 (#125)-3.0 (#142)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Daniel Gafford: 3 games (Mon @MIA, Wed OKC, Fri HOU).
  • Matisse Thybulle: 4 games (Tue POR, Wed @LAC, Fri @GSW, Sun TOR), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Daniel Gafford: 24.7 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 24.3 on the board.
  • Matisse Thybulle: 21.7 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 17.1 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Daniel Gafford playing tonight? · Is Matisse Thybulle playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Daniel Gafford or Matisse Thybulle?

    Points leagues: Daniel Gafford. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 17.1, 142nd on our board to 245th. 9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford again, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.5 (112th to 114th).

  • Who wins more categories, Daniel Gafford or Matisse Thybulle?

    Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and FG%) and Matisse Thybulle in 4 (STL, 3PM, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Daniel Gafford or Matisse Thybulle?

    Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Matisse Thybulle 4. For that week alone, start Daniel Gafford: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 68.4 for Matisse Thybulle.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 26, 2026 at 6:30 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number