Davion Mitchell vs Herbert Jones: who to start in Week 1
Davion Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Herbert Jones 3. For that week alone, start Davion Mitchell: 72.5 projected fantasy points to 63.5 for Herbert Jones. Over the season, Davion Mitchell leads in points leagues (24.2 fantasy points a game to 21.2) and Herbert Jones in 9-cat leagues (168th against 169th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 23, 3:53 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #145
- 24.2 FP/G, slot 13.01, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #169
- -2.9 z, slot 15.01
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #191
- 21.2 FP/G, slot 16.11
- 9-cat leagues
- #168
- -2.9 z, slot 14.12
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Davion Mitchell. 24.2 fantasy points per game against 21.2, 145th on our board to 191st.
9-cat leagues: Herbert Jones instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (168th to 169th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Davion Mitchell is ahead in 3 (PTS, AST and FG%) and Herbert Jones in 6 (REB, STL, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Davion Mitchell produces more: 30.2 fantasy points to 27.5, on 28.8 minutes a night against 27.6. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Davion Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Herbert Jones 3. For that week alone, start Davion Mitchell: 72.5 projected fantasy points to 63.5 for Herbert Jones.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Davion Mitchell | Herbert Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.2 | 21.2 |
| Minutes | 28.8 | 27.6 |
| PointsPTS | 9.4 | 8.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| AssistsAST | 6.8 | 2.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 49.0% | 38.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.1% | 80.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 70 | 56 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Davion Mitchell | Herbert Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 30.2 | 27.5 |
| Points | 11.8 | 11.2 |
| Rebounds | 3.1 | 4.3 |
| Assists | 8.4 | 3.4 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Threes | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Davion Mitchell | Herbert Jones |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.2 | -1.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.5 | -1.1 |
| AssistsAST | +1.6 | -0.5 |
| StealsSTL | -0.3 | +1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | -0.5 |
| Threes3PM | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.1 | -1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.3 | +0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.1 | +0.7 |
| Total | -2.9 | -2.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, steals, blocks, threes, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Davion Mitchell.
| Punt | Davion Mitchell | Herbert Jones |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.7 (#155) | -1.6 (#134) |
| REB | -1.6 (#118) | -1.9 (#130) |
| AST | -4.6 (#273) | -2.4 (#171) |
| STL | -2.7 (#174) | -4.4 (#269) |
| BLK | -2.1 (#131) | -2.6 (#155) |
| 3PM | -2.6 (#165) | -2.7 (#170) |
| FG% | -3.3 (#168) | -1.7 (#108) |
| FT% | -2.6 (#158) | -2.9 (#172) |
| TO | -3.2 (#142) | -3.7 (#165) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Davion Mitchell: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back.
- Herbert Jones: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Davion Mitchell: 25.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 24.2 on the board.
- Herbert Jones: 9.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Davion Mitchell playing tonight? · Is Herbert Jones playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Davion Mitchell or Herbert Jones?
Points leagues: Davion Mitchell. 24.2 fantasy points per game against 21.2, 145th on our board to 191st. 9-cat leagues: Herbert Jones instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (168th to 169th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Davion Mitchell or Herbert Jones?
Category by category, Davion Mitchell is ahead in 3 (PTS, AST and FG%) and Herbert Jones in 6 (REB, STL, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Davion Mitchell or Herbert Jones?
Davion Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Herbert Jones 3. For that week alone, start Davion Mitchell: 72.5 projected fantasy points to 63.5 for Herbert Jones.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 23, 2026 at 3:53 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number