Davion Mitchell vs Peyton Watson: who to start in Week 3
Davion Mitchell plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Peyton Watson 4. For that week alone, start Peyton Watson: 110.6 projected fantasy points to 106.2 for Davion Mitchell. Over the season, Peyton Watson leads in both formats: 27.7 fantasy points a game to 26.6, and 134th against 135th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #129
- 26.6 FP/G, slot 11.09, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #135
- -2.0 z, slot 12.03, $4
- Points leagues
- #117
- 27.7 FP/G, slot 10.09, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #134
- -2.0 z, slot 12.02, $4
Day to day (Hamstring)
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Peyton Watson. 27.7 fantasy points per game against 26.6, 117th on our board to 129th.
9-cat leagues: Peyton Watson again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (134th to 135th).
Category by category, Davion Mitchell is ahead in 4 (AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%) and Peyton Watson in 3 (PTS, REB and BLK).
Per 36 minutes, Peyton Watson produces more: 34.0 fantasy points to 31.7, on 29.3 minutes a night against 30.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Davion Mitchell plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Peyton Watson 4. For that week alone, start Peyton Watson: 110.6 projected fantasy points to 106.2 for Davion Mitchell.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Davion Mitchell | Peyton Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 26.6 | 27.7 |
| Minutes | 30.1 | 29.3 |
| PointsPTS | 11.5 | 13.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.3 | 4.6 |
| AssistsAST | 7.0 | 2.3 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 50.2% | 45.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 68.0% | 74.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 70 | 54 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Davion Mitchell | Peyton Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 31.7 | 34.0 |
| Points | 13.7 | 16.6 |
| Rebounds | 2.7 | 5.7 |
| Assists | 8.3 | 2.9 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Threes | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 2.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Davion Mitchell | Peyton Watson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.9 | -0.6 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.5 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | +1.6 | -0.7 |
| StealsSTL | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | +1.3 |
| Threes3PM | -0.1 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.3 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.5 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| Total | -2.0 | -2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, steals and blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Davion Mitchell.
| Punt | Davion Mitchell | Peyton Watson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.1 (#120) | -1.5 (#135) |
| REB | -0.6 (#85) | -1.7 (#122) |
| AST | -3.8 (#238) | -1.4 (#115) |
| STL | -1.9 (#143) | -1.9 (#144) |
| BLK | -1.3 (#104) | -3.5 (#192) |
| 3PM | -2.0 (#146) | -1.6 (#122) |
| FG% | -2.5 (#141) | -2.0 (#126) |
| FT% | -1.6 (#121) | -1.4 (#114) |
| TO | -2.2 (#117) | -2.2 (#116) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Davion Mitchell: 4 games (Mon @LAL, Wed @LAC, Thu @GSW, Sun @SAC), 1 back-to-back.
- Peyton Watson: 4 games (Mon OKC, Wed @OKC, Fri PHI, Sat NYK), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
Recent games
- Davion Mitchell: 31.7 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 26.6 on the board.
- Peyton Watson: 26.8 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 27.7 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Davion Mitchell playing tonight? · Is Peyton Watson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Peyton Watson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Davion Mitchell or Peyton Watson?
Points leagues: Peyton Watson. 27.7 fantasy points per game against 26.6, 117th on our board to 129th. 9-cat leagues: Peyton Watson again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (134th to 135th).
Who wins more categories, Davion Mitchell or Peyton Watson?
Category by category, Davion Mitchell is ahead in 4 (AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%) and Peyton Watson in 3 (PTS, REB and BLK).
Who should I start in Week 3, Davion Mitchell or Peyton Watson?
Davion Mitchell plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Peyton Watson 4. For that week alone, start Peyton Watson: 110.6 projected fantasy points to 106.2 for Davion Mitchell.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number