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De'Aaron Fox vs Stephon Castle: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Stephon Castle in points leagues (35.2 fantasy points a game to 34.5) and De'Aaron Fox in 9-cat leagues (71st against 149th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

De'Aaron Fox
PGSASage 28DTD
Points leagues
#51
34.5 FP/G, slot 5.03, $18
9-cat leagues
#71
-0.4 z, slot 6.11, $13

Day to day (Undisclosed)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Stephon Castle
SGPGSASage 21DTD
Points leagues
#48
35.2 FP/G, slot 4.12, $19
9-cat leagues
#149
-2.5 z, slot 13.05, $2

Day to day (Rest)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Stephon Castle. 35.2 fantasy points per game against 34.5, 48th on our board to 51st.

9-cat leagues: De'Aaron Fox instead, -0.4 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (71st to 149th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, De'Aaron Fox is ahead in 6 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 2 (REB and AST).

Per 36 minutes, Stephon Castle produces more: 42.3 fantasy points to 40.1, on 30.0 minutes a night against 31.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

De'Aaron Fox plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 105.6 projected fantasy points to 103.6 for De'Aaron Fox.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameDe'Aaron FoxStephon Castle
Fantasy points per game34.535.2
Minutes31.030.0
PointsPTS18.616.7
ReboundsREB3.85.3
AssistsAST6.27.4
StealsSTL1.21.1
BlocksBLK0.30.3
Threes3PM1.81.2
Field goal %FG%48.6%47.1%
Free throw %FT%76.0%73.4%
TurnoversTO2.33.2
Games, 2025-267268

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36De'Aaron FoxStephon Castle
Fantasy points40.142.3
Points21.620.0
Rebounds4.46.4
Assists7.28.9
Steals1.41.4
Blocks0.30.3
Threes2.11.4
Turnovers2.63.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDe'Aaron FoxStephon Castle
PointsPTS+0.3-0.0
ReboundsREB-0.9-0.2
AssistsAST+1.2+1.8
StealsSTL+0.6+0.4
BlocksBLK-0.9-0.8
Threes3PM+0.2-0.5
Field goal percentageFG%-0.0-0.3
Free throw percentageFT%-0.4-1.1
TurnoversTO-0.5-1.7
Total-0.4-2.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: De'Aaron Fox stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntDe'Aaron FoxStephon Castle
PTS-0.9 (#101)-2.6 (#194)
REB+0.4 (#52)-2.6 (#167)
AST-1.8 (#137)-4.5 (#268)
STL-1.1 (#101)-3.0 (#183)
BLK+0.4 (#53)-1.9 (#124)
3PM-0.7 (#88)-2.0 (#138)
FG%-0.7 (#80)-3.0 (#158)
FT%-0.1 (#66)-1.4 (#112)
TO+0.1 (#59)-0.8 (#78)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • De'Aaron Fox: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
  • Stephon Castle: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.

De'Aaron Fox or Stephon Castle: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • De'Aaron Fox: 31.6 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 34.5 on the board.
  • Stephon Castle: 37.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 35.2 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft De'Aaron Fox or Stephon Castle in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Stephon Castle. 35.2 fantasy points per game against 34.5, 48th on our board to 51st. 9-cat leagues: De'Aaron Fox instead, -0.4 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (71st to 149th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, De'Aaron Fox or Stephon Castle?

    Category by category, De'Aaron Fox is ahead in 6 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 2 (REB and AST).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, De'Aaron Fox or Stephon Castle?

    De'Aaron Fox plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 105.6 projected fantasy points to 103.6 for De'Aaron Fox.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number