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Dean Wade vs Pelle Larsson: who to start in Week 1

Dean Wade plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Dean Wade: 66.1 projected fantasy points to 65.2 for Pelle Larsson. Over the season, Pelle Larsson leads in both formats: 21.7 fantasy points a game to 16.5, and 198th against 199th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET.

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Dean Wade
PFSFPHIage 29
Points leagues
#254
16.5 FP/G, slot 22.02
9-cat leagues
#199
-3.7 z, slot 17.07
Pelle Larsson
SFSGMIAage 25
Points leagues
#173
21.7 FP/G, slot 15.05
9-cat leagues
#198
-3.7 z, slot 17.06

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Pelle Larsson. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 16.5, 173rd on our board to 254th.

9-cat leagues: Pelle Larsson again, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (198th to 199th).

Category by category, Dean Wade is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 4 (PTS, AST, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Pelle Larsson produces more: 29.0 fantasy points to 26.2, on 27.0 minutes a night against 22.7. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Dean Wade plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Dean Wade: 66.1 projected fantasy points to 65.2 for Pelle Larsson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDean WadePelle Larsson
Fantasy points per game16.521.7
Minutes22.727.0
PointsPTS5.910.9
ReboundsREB4.03.6
AssistsAST1.43.3
StealsSTL0.90.8
BlocksBLK0.40.2
Threes3PM1.30.8
Field goal %FG%44.8%47.4%
Free throw %FT%62.1%83.1%
TurnoversTO0.31.4
Games, 2025-265970

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Dean WadePelle Larsson
Fantasy points26.229.0
Points9.314.5
Rebounds6.44.8
Assists2.24.4
Steals1.41.0
Blocks0.70.3
Threes2.01.1
Turnovers0.41.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDean WadePelle Larsson
PointsPTS-1.8-1.0
ReboundsREB-0.7-1.0
AssistsAST-1.1-0.2
StealsSTL-0.4-0.8
BlocksBLK-0.5-0.9
Threes3PM-0.4-0.8
Field goal percentageFG%-0.3-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.4+0.3
TurnoversTO+2.0+0.6
Total-3.7-3.7

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, field goal percentage and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Dean Wade.

PuntDean WadePelle Larsson
PTS-1.9 (#162)-2.8 (#202)
REB-3.2 (#202)-2.9 (#180)
AST-2.7 (#181)-3.6 (#222)
STL-3.5 (#207)-3.0 (#188)
BLK-3.5 (#196)-3.1 (#170)
3PM-3.3 (#192)-2.9 (#179)
FG%-3.8 (#198)-3.9 (#202)
FT%-3.3 (#187)-4.1 (#219)
TO-5.9 (#248)-4.5 (#191)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Dean Wade: 4 games (Tue @NYK, Thu CLE, Sat MIL, Sun DET), 1 back-to-back.
  • Pelle Larsson: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Dean Wade: 21.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 16.5 on the board.
  • Pelle Larsson: 20.3 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Dean Wade playing tonight? · Is Pelle Larsson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Pelle Larsson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Dean Wade or Pelle Larsson?

    Points leagues: Pelle Larsson. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 16.5, 173rd on our board to 254th. 9-cat leagues: Pelle Larsson again, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (198th to 199th).

  • Who wins more categories, Dean Wade or Pelle Larsson?

    Category by category, Dean Wade is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 4 (PTS, AST, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Dean Wade or Pelle Larsson?

    Dean Wade plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Dean Wade: 66.1 projected fantasy points to 65.2 for Pelle Larsson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number