Pelle Larsson vs Robert Williams III: who to start in Week 1
Pelle Larsson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams III 2. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 65.2 projected fantasy points to 43.7 for Robert Williams III. Over the season, Robert Williams III leads in both formats: 21.8 fantasy points a game to 21.7, and 107th against 210th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 9:54 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #179
- 21.7 FP/G, slot 15.11
- 9-cat leagues
- #210
- -3.9 z, slot 18.06
- Points leagues
- #178
- 21.8 FP/G, slot 15.10
- 9-cat leagues
- #107
- -1.4 z, slot 9.11, $8
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Robert Williams III. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 178th on our board to 179th.
9-cat leagues: Robert Williams III again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (107th to 210th).
Category by category, Pelle Larsson is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Robert Williams III produces more: 46.4 fantasy points to 29.8, on 17.0 minutes a night against 26.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Pelle Larsson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams III 2. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 65.2 projected fantasy points to 43.7 for Robert Williams III.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Pelle Larsson | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.7 | 21.8 |
| Minutes | 26.3 | 17.0 |
| PointsPTS | 10.8 | 6.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.5 | 7.2 |
| AssistsAST | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| Threes3PM | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.7% | 69.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 80.4% | 59.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 70 | 59 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Pelle Larsson | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 29.8 | 46.4 |
| Points | 14.9 | 13.7 |
| Rebounds | 4.7 | 15.3 |
| Assists | 4.7 | 2.2 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 3.1 |
| Threes | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Pelle Larsson | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.0 | -1.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | +0.6 |
| AssistsAST | -0.1 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | -0.8 | -1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | +1.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.8 | -1.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.0 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | +1.4 |
| Total | -3.9 | -1.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Pelle Larsson.
| Punt | Pelle Larsson | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.0 (#215) | +0.3 (#51) |
| REB | -3.1 (#198) | -2.3 (#151) |
| AST | -3.9 (#239) | -0.1 (#56) |
| STL | -3.2 (#195) | -0.2 (#67) |
| BLK | -3.3 (#187) | -3.3 (#191) |
| 3PM | -3.1 (#190) | +0.1 (#57) |
| FG% | -4.3 (#225) | -3.3 (#172) |
| FT% | -4.0 (#221) | -0.8 (#85) |
| TO | -4.7 (#200) | -3.0 (#140) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Pelle Larsson: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back.
- Robert Williams III: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).
Recent games
- Pelle Larsson: 17.6 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.
- Robert Williams III: 18.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Pelle Larsson playing tonight? · Is Robert Williams III playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Pelle Larsson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Pelle Larsson or Robert Williams III?
Points leagues: Robert Williams III. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 178th on our board to 179th. 9-cat leagues: Robert Williams III again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (107th to 210th).
Who wins more categories, Pelle Larsson or Robert Williams III?
Category by category, Pelle Larsson is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Pelle Larsson or Robert Williams III?
Pelle Larsson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams III 2. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 65.2 projected fantasy points to 43.7 for Robert Williams III.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 9:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number