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DeMar DeRozan vs Jrue Holiday: who to start in Week 1

DeMar DeRozan plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jrue Holiday 2. For that week alone, start Jrue Holiday: 61.8 projected fantasy points to 61.7 for DeMar DeRozan. Over the season, Jrue Holiday leads in points leagues (30.9 fantasy points a game to 30.9) and DeMar DeRozan in 9-cat leagues (66th against 94th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 9:54 AM ET.

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DeMar DeRozan
SFPFSGDENage 37
Points leagues
#76
30.9 FP/G, slot 7.04, $13
9-cat leagues
#66
-0.3 z, slot 6.06, $14

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Jrue Holiday
PGSGPORage 36
Points leagues
#75
30.9 FP/G, slot 7.03, $13
9-cat leagues
#94
-1.2 z, slot 8.10, $9

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Jrue Holiday. 30.9 fantasy points per game against 30.9, 75th on our board to 76th.

9-cat leagues: DeMar DeRozan instead, -0.3 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (66th to 94th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, DeMar DeRozan is ahead in 5 (PTS, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Jrue Holiday in 4 (REB, AST, STL and 3PM).

Per 36 minutes, Jrue Holiday produces more: 38.5 fantasy points to 35.6, on 28.9 minutes a night against 31.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

DeMar DeRozan plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jrue Holiday 2. For that week alone, start Jrue Holiday: 61.8 projected fantasy points to 61.7 for DeMar DeRozan.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDeMar DeRozanJrue Holiday
Fantasy points per game30.930.9
Minutes31.228.9
PointsPTS18.415.8
ReboundsREB2.94.6
AssistsAST4.15.8
StealsSTL1.01.1
BlocksBLK0.30.1
Threes3PM0.62.4
Field goal %FG%49.7%44.8%
Free throw %FT%86.8%85.7%
TurnoversTO1.22.6
Games, 2025-267753

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36DeMar DeRozanJrue Holiday
Fantasy points35.638.5
Points21.219.7
Rebounds3.45.7
Assists4.77.2
Steals1.21.3
Blocks0.30.1
Threes0.73.0
Turnovers1.43.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDeMar DeRozanJrue Holiday
PointsPTS+0.3-0.1
ReboundsREB-1.3-0.5
AssistsAST+0.2+1.1
StealsSTL+0.1+0.2
BlocksBLK-0.8-1.2
Threes3PM-1.0+0.8
Field goal percentageFG%+0.2-0.8
Free throw percentageFT%+1.2+0.4
TurnoversTO+0.8-0.9
Total-0.3-1.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Jrue Holiday.

PuntDeMar DeRozanJrue Holiday
PTS-0.6 (#88)-1.1 (#115)
REB+0.9 (#38)-0.6 (#74)
AST-0.6 (#79)-2.4 (#171)
STL-0.5 (#75)-1.4 (#116)
BLK+0.4 (#49)-0.0 (#60)
3PM+0.6 (#47)-2.1 (#142)
FG%-0.7 (#76)-0.3 (#68)
FT%-1.6 (#118)-1.7 (#123)
TO-1.1 (#84)-0.3 (#64)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • DeMar DeRozan: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
  • Jrue Holiday: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).

DeMar DeRozan or Jrue Holiday: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • DeMar DeRozan: 29.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 30.9 on the board.
  • Jrue Holiday: 20.3 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 30.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is DeMar DeRozan playing tonight? · Is Jrue Holiday playing tonight?

Rookie cards: DeMar DeRozan, Jrue Holiday

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, DeMar DeRozan or Jrue Holiday?

    Points leagues: Jrue Holiday. 30.9 fantasy points per game against 30.9, 75th on our board to 76th. 9-cat leagues: DeMar DeRozan instead, -0.3 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (66th to 94th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, DeMar DeRozan or Jrue Holiday?

    Category by category, DeMar DeRozan is ahead in 5 (PTS, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Jrue Holiday in 4 (REB, AST, STL and 3PM).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, DeMar DeRozan or Jrue Holiday?

    DeMar DeRozan plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jrue Holiday 2. For that week alone, start Jrue Holiday: 61.8 projected fantasy points to 61.7 for DeMar DeRozan.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 9:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number