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DeMar DeRozan vs Paolo Banchero: who to start in Week 2

DeMar DeRozan plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start DeMar DeRozan: 88.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Paolo Banchero. Over the season, Paolo Banchero leads in points leagues (41.0 fantasy points a game to 29.4) and DeMar DeRozan in 9-cat leagues (92nd against 93rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 27, 8:32 PM ET.

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DeMar DeRozan
SFPFSGDENage 37
Points leagues
#89
29.4 FP/G, slot 8.05, $11
9-cat leagues
#92
-1.1 z, slot 8.08, $9

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Paolo Banchero
PFORLage 23OUT
Points leagues
#21
41.0 FP/G, slot 2.09, $28
9-cat leagues
#93
-1.1 z, slot 8.09, $9

Out (Ankle)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 29.4, 21st on our board to 89th.

9-cat leagues: DeMar DeRozan instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (92nd to 93rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, DeMar DeRozan is ahead in 4 (STL, FG%, FT% and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and 3PM).

Per 36 minutes, Paolo Banchero produces more: 42.5 fantasy points to 34.7, on 34.7 minutes a night against 30.5. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

DeMar DeRozan plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start DeMar DeRozan: 88.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Paolo Banchero.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDeMar DeRozanPaolo Banchero
Fantasy points per game29.441.0
Minutes30.534.7
PointsPTS17.922.5
ReboundsREB2.98.2
AssistsAST3.75.5
StealsSTL1.00.7
BlocksBLK0.30.5
Threes3PM0.61.2
Field goal %FG%49.3%48.0%
Free throw %FT%85.7%76.4%
TurnoversTO1.43.2
Games, 2025-267772

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36DeMar DeRozanPaolo Banchero
Fantasy points34.742.5
Points21.223.3
Rebounds3.58.5
Assists4.45.7
Steals1.20.8
Blocks0.40.5
Threes0.71.3
Turnovers1.73.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDeMar DeRozanPaolo Banchero
PointsPTS+0.3+1.1
ReboundsREB-1.2+1.2
AssistsAST+0.0+0.9
StealsSTL-0.1-0.8
BlocksBLK-0.8-0.4
Threes3PM-1.1-0.5
Field goal percentageFG%+0.2-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%+1.1-0.9
TurnoversTO+0.6-1.6
Total-1.1-1.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Paolo Banchero.

PuntDeMar DeRozanPaolo Banchero
PTS-1.4 (#132)-2.2 (#176)
REB+0.0 (#54)-2.6 (#168)
AST-1.3 (#111)-2.1 (#152)
STL-1.1 (#99)-0.3 (#67)
BLK-0.4 (#75)-0.9 (#91)
3PM-0.2 (#65)-0.6 (#82)
FG%-1.5 (#106)-1.6 (#111)
FT%-2.2 (#151)-0.3 (#69)
TO-1.7 (#104)+0.6 (#49)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • DeMar DeRozan: 3 games (Mon GSW, Wed @NOP, Fri @PHX).
  • Paolo Banchero: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @TOR, Sun BOS), listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • DeMar DeRozan: 22.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 29.4 on the board.
  • Paolo Banchero: 42.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 41.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is DeMar DeRozan playing tonight? · Is Paolo Banchero playing tonight?

Rookie cards: DeMar DeRozan, Paolo Banchero

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, DeMar DeRozan or Paolo Banchero?

    Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 29.4, 21st on our board to 89th. 9-cat leagues: DeMar DeRozan instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (92nd to 93rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, DeMar DeRozan or Paolo Banchero?

    Category by category, DeMar DeRozan is ahead in 4 (STL, FG%, FT% and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and 3PM).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, DeMar DeRozan or Paolo Banchero?

    DeMar DeRozan plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start DeMar DeRozan: 88.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Paolo Banchero.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 8:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number