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Deni Avdija vs LeBron James: who to start in Week 1

Deni Avdija plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), LeBron James 4. For that week alone, start Deni Avdija: 85.4 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for LeBron James. Over the season, Deni Avdija leads in points leagues (42.7 fantasy points a game to 41.4) and LeBron James in 9-cat leagues (40th against 62nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 2:27 PM ET.

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Deni Avdija
PFSFSGPORage 25
Points leagues
#16
42.7 FP/G, slot 2.04, $31
9-cat leagues
#62
-0.1 z, slot 6.02, $15

The pick in points leagues.

LeBron James
PFPGSFPHIage 41OUT
Points leagues
#18
41.4 FP/G, slot 2.06, $29
9-cat leagues
#40
+1.0 z, slot 4.04, $21

Out (Back)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Deni Avdija. 42.7 fantasy points per game against 41.4, 16th on our board to 18th.

9-cat leagues: LeBron James instead, +1.0 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (40th to 62nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Deni Avdija is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, 3PM and FT%) and LeBron James in 5 (AST, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Deni Avdija produces more: 46.6 fantasy points to 44.9, on 33.0 minutes a night against 33.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Deni Avdija plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), LeBron James 4. For that week alone, start Deni Avdija: 85.4 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for LeBron James.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDeni AvdijaLeBron James
Fantasy points per game42.741.4
Minutes33.033.2
PointsPTS24.020.3
ReboundsREB7.16.5
AssistsAST6.57.1
StealsSTL0.91.3
BlocksBLK0.50.6
Threes3PM1.81.2
Field goal %FG%46.3%50.0%
Free throw %FT%79.0%74.2%
TurnoversTO3.73.0
Games, 2025-266660

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Deni AvdijaLeBron James
Fantasy points46.644.9
Points26.122.0
Rebounds7.77.0
Assists7.17.7
Steals0.91.4
Blocks0.60.7
Threes2.01.3
Turnovers4.03.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDeni AvdijaLeBron James
PointsPTS+1.3+0.7
ReboundsREB+0.6+0.3
AssistsAST+1.5+1.8
StealsSTL-0.4+0.7
BlocksBLK-0.3-0.1
Threes3PM+0.2-0.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.6+0.3
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2-0.9
TurnoversTO-2.2-1.4
Total-0.1+1.0

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Deni Avdija.

PuntDeni AvdijaLeBron James
PTS-1.5 (#136)+0.2 (#51)
REB-1.0 (#95)+0.4 (#47)
AST-1.7 (#136)-0.9 (#94)
STL+0.3 (#52)+0.2 (#57)
BLK-0.1 (#61)+0.9 (#40)
3PM-0.4 (#75)+1.3 (#31)
FG%-0.0 (#62)+0.0 (#59)
FT%-0.0 (#63)+1.8 (#25)
TO+2.1 (#36)+2.4 (#33)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Deni Avdija: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).
  • LeBron James: 4 games (Tue @NYK, Thu CLE, Sat MIL, Sun DET), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.

Deni Avdija or LeBron James: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Deni Avdija: 41.7 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 42.7 on the board.
  • LeBron James: 41.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 41.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Deni Avdija playing tonight? · Is LeBron James playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Deni Avdija, LeBron James

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Deni Avdija or LeBron James?

    Points leagues: Deni Avdija. 42.7 fantasy points per game against 41.4, 16th on our board to 18th. 9-cat leagues: LeBron James instead, +1.0 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (40th to 62nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Deni Avdija or LeBron James?

    Category by category, Deni Avdija is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, 3PM and FT%) and LeBron James in 5 (AST, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Deni Avdija or LeBron James?

    Deni Avdija plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), LeBron James 4. For that week alone, start Deni Avdija: 85.4 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for LeBron James.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 2:27 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number