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Deni Avdija vs Neemias Queta: who to start in Week 1

Deni Avdija plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Neemias Queta 2. For that week alone, start Deni Avdija: 85.4 projected fantasy points to 55.4 for Neemias Queta. Over the season, Deni Avdija leads in both formats: 42.7 fantasy points a game to 27.7, and 62nd against 63rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Deni Avdija
PFSFSGPORage 25
Points leagues
#16
42.7 FP/G, slot 2.04, $31
9-cat leagues
#62
-0.1 z, slot 6.02, $15

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Neemias Queta
CBOSage 27
Points leagues
#108
27.7 FP/G, slot 9.12, $8
9-cat leagues
#63
-0.1 z, slot 6.03, $15

The call

Points leagues: Deni Avdija. 42.7 fantasy points per game against 27.7, 16th on our board to 108th.

9-cat leagues: Deni Avdija again, -0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (62nd to 63rd).

Category by category, Deni Avdija is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Neemias Queta in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Deni Avdija produces more: 46.6 fantasy points to 39.9, on 33.0 minutes a night against 24.9. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Deni Avdija plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Neemias Queta 2. For that week alone, start Deni Avdija: 85.4 projected fantasy points to 55.4 for Neemias Queta.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDeni AvdijaNeemias Queta
Fantasy points per game42.727.7
Minutes33.024.9
PointsPTS24.010.1
ReboundsREB7.18.0
AssistsAST6.51.6
StealsSTL0.90.8
BlocksBLK0.51.5
Threes3PM1.80.1
Field goal %FG%46.3%63.3%
Free throw %FT%79.0%68.7%
TurnoversTO3.71.0
Games, 2025-266676

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Deni AvdijaNeemias Queta
Fantasy points46.639.9
Points26.114.5
Rebounds7.711.5
Assists7.12.4
Steals0.91.1
Blocks0.62.1
Threes2.00.1
Turnovers4.01.5

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDeni AvdijaNeemias Queta
PointsPTS+1.3-1.1
ReboundsREB+0.6+1.0
AssistsAST+1.5-1.0
StealsSTL-0.4-0.7
BlocksBLK-0.3+1.6
Threes3PM+0.2-1.6
Field goal percentageFG%-0.6+1.6
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2-0.9
TurnoversTO-2.2+1.0
Total-0.1-0.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Neemias Queta.

PuntDeni AvdijaNeemias Queta
PTS-1.5 (#136)+0.9 (#33)
REB-1.0 (#95)-1.4 (#119)
AST-1.7 (#136)+0.8 (#41)
STL+0.3 (#52)+0.5 (#48)
BLK-0.1 (#61)-2.1 (#139)
3PM-0.4 (#75)+1.5 (#30)
FG%-0.0 (#62)-2.4 (#139)
FT%-0.0 (#63)+0.8 (#42)
TO+2.1 (#36)-1.3 (#90)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Deni Avdija: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).
  • Neemias Queta: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Deni Avdija: 41.7 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 42.7 on the board.
  • Neemias Queta: 24.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 27.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Deni Avdija playing tonight? · Is Neemias Queta playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Deni Avdija, Neemias Queta

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Deni Avdija or Neemias Queta?

    Points leagues: Deni Avdija. 42.7 fantasy points per game against 27.7, 16th on our board to 108th. 9-cat leagues: Deni Avdija again, -0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.1 (62nd to 63rd).

  • Who wins more categories, Deni Avdija or Neemias Queta?

    Category by category, Deni Avdija is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Neemias Queta in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Deni Avdija or Neemias Queta?

    Deni Avdija plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Neemias Queta 2. For that week alone, start Deni Avdija: 85.4 projected fantasy points to 55.4 for Neemias Queta.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number