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Derrick Jones Jr. vs Ryan Kalkbrenner: who to start in Week 1

Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ryan Kalkbrenner 3. For that week alone, start Derrick Jones Jr.: 64.3 projected fantasy points to 60.4 for Ryan Kalkbrenner. Over the season, Derrick Jones Jr. leads in points leagues (21.4 fantasy points a game to 20.1) and Ryan Kalkbrenner in 9-cat leagues (132nd against 135th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 3:54 PM ET.

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Derrick Jones Jr.
PFSFLACage 29
Points leagues
#185
21.4 FP/G, slot 16.05
9-cat leagues
#135
-2.2 z, slot 12.03, $3

The pick in points leagues.

Points leagues
#205
20.1 FP/G, slot 18.01
9-cat leagues
#132
-2.1 z, slot 11.12, $4

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Derrick Jones Jr.. 21.4 fantasy points per game against 20.1, 185th on our board to 205th.

9-cat leagues: Ryan Kalkbrenner instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (132nd to 135th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Derrick Jones Jr. is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Ryan Kalkbrenner in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Ryan Kalkbrenner produces more: 34.5 fantasy points to 28.6, on 21.0 minutes a night against 26.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ryan Kalkbrenner 3. For that week alone, start Derrick Jones Jr.: 64.3 projected fantasy points to 60.4 for Ryan Kalkbrenner.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDerrick Jones Jr.Ryan Kalkbrenner
Fantasy points per game21.420.1
Minutes26.921.0
PointsPTS9.97.3
ReboundsREB3.65.4
AssistsAST1.60.9
StealsSTL0.90.4
BlocksBLK0.91.5
Threes3PM1.10.0
Field goal %FG%50.7%74.9%
Free throw %FT%74.6%71.6%
TurnoversTO0.80.9
Games, 2025-265069

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Derrick Jones Jr.Ryan Kalkbrenner
Fantasy points28.634.5
Points13.312.6
Rebounds4.89.3
Assists2.11.6
Steals1.20.7
Blocks1.32.6
Threes1.50.0
Turnovers1.11.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDerrick Jones Jr.Ryan Kalkbrenner
PointsPTS-1.1-1.6
ReboundsREB-1.0-0.2
AssistsAST-1.0-1.4
StealsSTL-0.3-1.6
BlocksBLK+0.5+1.7
Threes3PM-0.5-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%+0.2+1.8
Free throw percentageFT%-0.3-0.4
TurnoversTO+1.3+1.2
Total-2.2-2.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Derrick Jones Jr..

PuntDerrick Jones Jr.Ryan Kalkbrenner
PTS-1.1 (#114)-0.6 (#82)
REB-1.4 (#113)-2.2 (#142)
AST-1.2 (#108)-0.7 (#82)
STL-2.0 (#143)-0.6 (#80)
BLK-2.9 (#169)-4.1 (#237)
3PM-1.7 (#123)-0.4 (#72)
FG%-2.7 (#149)-4.4 (#229)
FT%-1.9 (#133)-1.7 (#124)
TO-3.7 (#164)-3.6 (#156)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Derrick Jones Jr.: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
  • Ryan Kalkbrenner: 3 games (Wed @BKN, Fri ATL, Sat MIA), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Derrick Jones Jr.: 24.7 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.4 on the board.
  • Ryan Kalkbrenner: 19.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 20.1 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Derrick Jones Jr. playing tonight? · Is Ryan Kalkbrenner playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Ryan Kalkbrenner

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Derrick Jones Jr. or Ryan Kalkbrenner?

    Points leagues: Derrick Jones Jr.. 21.4 fantasy points per game against 20.1, 185th on our board to 205th. 9-cat leagues: Ryan Kalkbrenner instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (132nd to 135th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Derrick Jones Jr. or Ryan Kalkbrenner?

    Category by category, Derrick Jones Jr. is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Ryan Kalkbrenner in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Derrick Jones Jr. or Ryan Kalkbrenner?

    Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ryan Kalkbrenner 3. For that week alone, start Derrick Jones Jr.: 64.3 projected fantasy points to 60.4 for Ryan Kalkbrenner.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 3:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number