Derrick Jones Jr. vs Obi Toppin: who to start in Week 1
Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Obi Toppin 3. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 64.4 projected fantasy points to 64.3 for Derrick Jones Jr.. Over the season, Obi Toppin leads in points leagues (21.5 fantasy points a game to 21.4) and Derrick Jones Jr. in 9-cat leagues (135th against 162nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #185
- 21.4 FP/G, slot 16.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #135
- -2.2 z, slot 12.03, $3
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #184
- 21.5 FP/G, slot 16.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #162
- -2.7 z, slot 14.06
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Obi Toppin. 21.5 fantasy points per game against 21.4, 184th on our board to 185th.
9-cat leagues: Derrick Jones Jr. instead, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -2.7 (135th to 162nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Derrick Jones Jr. is ahead in 3 (STL, BLK and TO) and Obi Toppin in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Obi Toppin produces more: 42.6 fantasy points to 28.6, on 18.1 minutes a night against 26.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Obi Toppin 3. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 64.4 projected fantasy points to 64.3 for Derrick Jones Jr..
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Derrick Jones Jr. | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.4 | 21.5 |
| Minutes | 26.9 | 18.1 |
| PointsPTS | 9.9 | 12.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| AssistsAST | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Threes3PM | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 50.7% | 51.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 74.6% | 89.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 50 | 24 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Derrick Jones Jr. | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 28.6 | 42.6 |
| Points | 13.3 | 24.1 |
| Rebounds | 4.8 | 8.6 |
| Assists | 2.1 | 4.4 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Threes | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| Turnovers | 1.1 | 2.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Derrick Jones Jr. | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.1 | -0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | -0.7 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -0.7 |
| StealsSTL | -0.3 | -1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.5 | -1.3 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | +0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.2 | +0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.3 | +0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.3 | +1.0 |
| Total | -2.2 | -2.7 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals and blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Obi Toppin.
| Punt | Derrick Jones Jr. | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.1 (#114) | -2.0 (#165) |
| REB | -1.4 (#113) | -2.1 (#137) |
| AST | -1.2 (#108) | -2.1 (#151) |
| STL | -2.0 (#143) | -1.6 (#124) |
| BLK | -2.9 (#169) | -1.5 (#109) |
| 3PM | -1.7 (#123) | -2.9 (#177) |
| FG% | -2.7 (#149) | -3.1 (#163) |
| FT% | -1.9 (#133) | -3.4 (#188) |
| TO | -3.7 (#164) | -3.8 (#169) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Derrick Jones Jr.: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
- Obi Toppin: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
Recent games
- Derrick Jones Jr.: 24.7 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.4 on the board.
- Obi Toppin: 31.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.5 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Derrick Jones Jr. playing tonight? · Is Obi Toppin playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Derrick Jones Jr. or Obi Toppin?
Points leagues: Obi Toppin. 21.5 fantasy points per game against 21.4, 184th on our board to 185th. 9-cat leagues: Derrick Jones Jr. instead, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -2.7 (135th to 162nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Derrick Jones Jr. or Obi Toppin?
Category by category, Derrick Jones Jr. is ahead in 3 (STL, BLK and TO) and Obi Toppin in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Derrick Jones Jr. or Obi Toppin?
Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Obi Toppin 3. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 64.4 projected fantasy points to 64.3 for Derrick Jones Jr..
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number