Donovan Mitchell vs Stephen Curry: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Donovan Mitchell in both formats: 44.3 fantasy points a game to 39.7 in points leagues, and 7th against 10th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #12
- 44.3 FP/G, slot 1.12, $32
- 9-cat leagues
- #7
- +4.3 z, slot 1.07, $39
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #33
- 39.7 FP/G, slot 3.09, $25
- 9-cat leagues
- #10
- +3.9 z, slot 1.10, $37
The call
Points leagues: draft Donovan Mitchell. 44.3 fantasy points per game against 39.7, 12th on our board to 33rd.
9-cat leagues: Donovan Mitchell again, +4.3 in summed z-scores against +3.9 (7th to 10th).
Category by category, Donovan Mitchell is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and FG%) and Stephen Curry in 3 (BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Donovan Mitchell produces more: 47.7 fantasy points to 46.3, on 33.5 minutes a night against 30.9. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Donovan Mitchell plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephen Curry 3. For that week alone, start Stephen Curry: 119.2 projected fantasy points to 88.6 for Donovan Mitchell.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Donovan Mitchell | Stephen Curry |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 44.3 | 39.7 |
| Minutes | 33.5 | 30.9 |
| PointsPTS | 27.9 | 26.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| AssistsAST | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| StealsSTL | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.3% | 46.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 86.5% | 92.3% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 70 | 43 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Donovan Mitchell | Stephen Curry |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 47.7 | 46.3 |
| Points | 30.0 | 30.9 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Assists | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 3.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Donovan Mitchell | Stephen Curry |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +2.0 | +1.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.6 | -1.0 |
| AssistsAST | +1.0 | +0.5 |
| StealsSTL | +1.3 | +0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | +1.6 | +2.8 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.1 | -0.6 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.2 | +1.9 |
| TurnoversTO | -1.2 | -1.2 |
| Total | +4.3 | +3.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, assists, steals and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Stephen Curry.
| Punt | Donovan Mitchell | Stephen Curry |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +2.2 (#16) | +2.1 (#17) |
| REB | +5.0 (#8) | +5.3 (#6) |
| AST | +3.1 (#13) | +3.3 (#11) |
| STL | +2.9 (#14) | +3.6 (#12) |
| BLK | +5.3 (#6) | +4.8 (#7) |
| 3PM | +2.4 (#19) | +0.9 (#41) |
| FG% | +4.8 (#9) | +5.4 (#7) |
| FT% | +2.8 (#16) | +1.8 (#27) |
| TO | +5.7 (#7) | +5.3 (#9) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Donovan Mitchell: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).
- Stephen Curry: 3 games (Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Donovan Mitchell: 40.3 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 44.3 on the board.
- Stephen Curry: 34.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 39.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Donovan Mitchell or Stephen Curry in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Donovan Mitchell. 44.3 fantasy points per game against 39.7, 12th on our board to 33rd. 9-cat leagues: Donovan Mitchell again, +4.3 in summed z-scores against +3.9 (7th to 10th).
Who wins more categories, Donovan Mitchell or Stephen Curry?
Category by category, Donovan Mitchell is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and FG%) and Stephen Curry in 3 (BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Donovan Mitchell or Stephen Curry?
Donovan Mitchell plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephen Curry 3. For that week alone, start Stephen Curry: 119.2 projected fantasy points to 88.6 for Donovan Mitchell.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number