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Dylan Cardwell vs Royce O'Neale: who to start in Week 1

Dylan Cardwell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Royce O'Neale 3. For that week alone, start Royce O'Neale: 67.1 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Dylan Cardwell. Over the season, Royce O'Neale leads in both formats: 22.4 fantasy points a game to 22.3, and 119th against 134th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET.

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Dylan Cardwell
CPFSACage 24OUT
Points leagues
#170
22.3 FP/G, slot 15.02
9-cat leagues
#134
-2.2 z, slot 12.02, $4

Out (Calf)

Royce O'Neale
PFSFCHAage 33
Points leagues
#169
22.4 FP/G, slot 15.01
9-cat leagues
#119
-1.7 z, slot 10.11, $6

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Royce O'Neale. 22.4 fantasy points per game against 22.3, 169th on our board to 170th.

9-cat leagues: Royce O'Neale again, -1.7 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (119th to 134th).

Category by category, Dylan Cardwell is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Royce O'Neale in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Dylan Cardwell produces more: 39.0 fantasy points to 29.1, on 20.6 minutes a night against 27.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Dylan Cardwell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Royce O'Neale 3. For that week alone, start Royce O'Neale: 67.1 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Dylan Cardwell.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDylan CardwellRoyce O'Neale
Fantasy points per game22.322.4
Minutes20.627.7
PointsPTS5.49.7
ReboundsREB7.54.7
AssistsAST1.42.5
StealsSTL0.71.1
BlocksBLK1.50.4
Threes3PM0.02.7
Field goal %FG%58.7%42.5%
Free throw %FT%51.0%71.1%
TurnoversTO0.91.3
Games, 2025-264478

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Dylan CardwellRoyce O'Neale
Fantasy points39.029.1
Points9.412.6
Rebounds13.26.1
Assists2.53.3
Steals1.21.4
Blocks2.70.6
Threes0.13.5
Turnovers1.51.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDylan CardwellRoyce O'Neale
PointsPTS-1.9-1.2
ReboundsREB+0.8-0.5
AssistsAST-1.1-0.6
StealsSTL-0.9+0.2
BlocksBLK+1.8-0.5
Threes3PM-1.6+1.1
Field goal percentageFG%+0.7-0.8
Free throw percentageFT%-1.0-0.1
TurnoversTO+1.2+0.7
Total-2.2-1.7

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Dylan Cardwell.

PuntDylan CardwellRoyce O'Neale
PTS-0.3 (#74)-0.6 (#87)
REB-3.3 (#213)-1.3 (#107)
AST-1.0 (#98)-1.2 (#109)
STL-1.3 (#110)-2.0 (#141)
BLK-4.3 (#243)-1.4 (#105)
3PM-0.5 (#74)-2.8 (#174)
FG%-3.4 (#177)-0.9 (#84)
FT%-1.0 (#94)-1.6 (#119)
TO-3.6 (#160)-2.5 (#123)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Dylan Cardwell: 3 games (Wed @LAC, Fri POR, Sun MEM), listed Out.
  • Royce O'Neale: 3 games (Wed @BKN, Fri ATL, Sat MIA), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Dylan Cardwell: 23.3 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.3 on the board.
  • Royce O'Neale: 17.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 22.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Dylan Cardwell playing tonight? · Is Royce O'Neale playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Dylan Cardwell or Royce O'Neale?

    Points leagues: Royce O'Neale. 22.4 fantasy points per game against 22.3, 169th on our board to 170th. 9-cat leagues: Royce O'Neale again, -1.7 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (119th to 134th).

  • Who wins more categories, Dylan Cardwell or Royce O'Neale?

    Category by category, Dylan Cardwell is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Royce O'Neale in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Dylan Cardwell or Royce O'Neale?

    Dylan Cardwell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Royce O'Neale 3. For that week alone, start Royce O'Neale: 67.1 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Dylan Cardwell.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number