Evan Mobley vs Giannis Antetokounmpo: who to start in Week 1
Evan Mobley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Giannis Antetokounmpo 3. For that week alone, start Giannis Antetokounmpo: 149.0 projected fantasy points to 78.6 for Evan Mobley. Over the season, Giannis Antetokounmpo leads in points leagues (49.7 fantasy points a game to 39.3) and Evan Mobley in 9-cat leagues (38th against 39th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #29
- 39.3 FP/G, slot 3.05, $25
- 9-cat leagues
- #38
- +1.0 z, slot 4.02, $21
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #5
- 49.7 FP/G, slot 1.05, $41
- 9-cat leagues
- #39
- +1.0 z, slot 4.03, $21
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Giannis Antetokounmpo. 49.7 fantasy points per game against 39.3, 5th on our board to 29th.
9-cat leagues: Evan Mobley instead, +1.0 in summed z-scores against +1.0 (38th to 39th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Evan Mobley is ahead in 4 (BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Giannis Antetokounmpo in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Giannis Antetokounmpo produces more: 61.3 fantasy points to 44.1, on 29.2 minutes a night against 32.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Evan Mobley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Giannis Antetokounmpo 3. For that week alone, start Giannis Antetokounmpo: 149.0 projected fantasy points to 78.6 for Evan Mobley.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Evan Mobley | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 39.3 | 49.7 |
| Minutes | 32.0 | 29.2 |
| PointsPTS | 18.1 | 28.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 9.0 | 9.7 |
| AssistsAST | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 54.6% | 62.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 62.3% | 64.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 65 | 36 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Evan Mobley | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 44.1 | 61.3 |
| Points | 20.4 | 35.2 |
| Rebounds | 10.1 | 12.0 |
| Assists | 3.9 | 6.4 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Threes | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 3.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Evan Mobley | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.3 | +2.1 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.4 | +1.8 |
| AssistsAST | -0.0 | +0.8 |
| StealsSTL | -0.9 | -0.0 |
| BlocksBLK | +2.0 | -0.1 |
| Threes3PM | -0.7 | -1.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.3 | +3.9 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -2.4 | -4.7 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.0 | -1.6 |
| Total | +1.0 | +1.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting blocks, threes, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Giannis Antetokounmpo.
| Punt | Evan Mobley | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.6 (#42) | -1.3 (#125) |
| REB | -0.9 (#87) | -1.6 (#125) |
| AST | +0.9 (#37) | -0.2 (#57) |
| STL | +1.8 (#28) | +0.9 (#38) |
| BLK | -1.3 (#102) | +0.7 (#44) |
| 3PM | +1.7 (#28) | +2.1 (#23) |
| FG% | -1.3 (#95) | -5.1 (#253) |
| FT% | +3.4 (#12) | +5.6 (#4) |
| TO | +0.9 (#46) | +2.6 (#30) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Evan Mobley: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Evan Mobley: 29.6 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 39.3 on the board.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: 53.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 49.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Evan Mobley playing tonight? · Is Giannis Antetokounmpo playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Giannis Antetokounmpo
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Evan Mobley or Giannis Antetokounmpo?
Points leagues: Giannis Antetokounmpo. 49.7 fantasy points per game against 39.3, 5th on our board to 29th. 9-cat leagues: Evan Mobley instead, +1.0 in summed z-scores against +1.0 (38th to 39th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Evan Mobley or Giannis Antetokounmpo?
Category by category, Evan Mobley is ahead in 4 (BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Giannis Antetokounmpo in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Evan Mobley or Giannis Antetokounmpo?
Evan Mobley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Giannis Antetokounmpo 3. For that week alone, start Giannis Antetokounmpo: 149.0 projected fantasy points to 78.6 for Evan Mobley.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number