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Evan Mobley vs Jalen Brunson: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Jalen Brunson in points leagues (40.5 fantasy points a game to 39.9) and Evan Mobley in 9-cat leagues (41st against 49th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Evan Mobley
CPFCLEage 25
Points leagues
#29
39.9 FP/G, slot 3.05, $26
9-cat leagues
#41
+0.9 z, slot 4.05, $20

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Jalen Brunson
PGNYKage 30DTD
Points leagues
#26
40.5 FP/G, slot 3.02, $27
9-cat leagues
#49
+0.6 z, slot 5.01, $19

Day to day (Rest)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Jalen Brunson. 40.5 fantasy points per game against 39.9, 26th on our board to 29th.

9-cat leagues: Evan Mobley instead, +0.9 in summed z-scores against +0.6 (41st to 49th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Evan Mobley is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jalen Brunson in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Evan Mobley produces more: 45.0 fantasy points to 41.7, on 31.9 minutes a night against 35.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Evan Mobley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jalen Brunson 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Brunson: 121.5 projected fantasy points to 79.9 for Evan Mobley.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameEvan MobleyJalen Brunson
Fantasy points per game39.940.5
Minutes31.935.0
PointsPTS18.226.0
ReboundsREB9.03.3
AssistsAST3.66.8
StealsSTL0.70.8
BlocksBLK1.70.1
Threes3PM1.02.6
Field goal %FG%54.6%46.7%
Free throw %FT%60.6%84.1%
TurnoversTO1.92.4
Games, 2025-266574

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Evan MobleyJalen Brunson
Fantasy points45.041.7
Points20.526.8
Rebounds10.23.4
Assists4.17.0
Steals0.80.8
Blocks2.00.1
Threes1.12.7
Turnovers2.12.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryEvan MobleyJalen Brunson
PointsPTS+0.3+1.6
ReboundsREB+1.4-1.1
AssistsAST-0.0+1.5
StealsSTL-0.8-0.7
BlocksBLK+2.2-1.2
Threes3PM-0.7+1.0
Field goal percentageFG%+1.3-0.6
Free throw percentageFT%-2.7+0.7
TurnoversTO-0.0-0.6
Total+0.9+0.6

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Jalen Brunson.

PuntEvan MobleyJalen Brunson
PTS+0.5 (#44)-1.1 (#110)
REB-1.1 (#91)+1.8 (#25)
AST+0.8 (#40)-1.1 (#97)
STL+1.5 (#28)+1.2 (#32)
BLK-1.7 (#115)+1.9 (#27)
3PM+1.6 (#30)-0.6 (#86)
FG%-1.4 (#99)+1.3 (#40)
FT%+3.6 (#9)-0.4 (#74)
TO+0.8 (#51)+1.3 (#45)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Evan Mobley: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).
  • Jalen Brunson: 3 games (Tue PHI, Fri @BOS, Sun ORL), listed DTD.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Evan Mobley: 36.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 39.9 on the board.
  • Jalen Brunson: 39.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 40.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Evan Mobley or Jalen Brunson in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Jalen Brunson. 40.5 fantasy points per game against 39.9, 26th on our board to 29th. 9-cat leagues: Evan Mobley instead, +0.9 in summed z-scores against +0.6 (41st to 49th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Evan Mobley or Jalen Brunson?

    Category by category, Evan Mobley is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jalen Brunson in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Evan Mobley or Jalen Brunson?

    Evan Mobley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jalen Brunson 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Brunson: 121.5 projected fantasy points to 79.9 for Evan Mobley.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number