Fred VanVleet vs Nickeil Alexander-Walker: who to start in Week 3
Fred VanVleet plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 130.4 projected fantasy points to 97.2 for Fred VanVleet. Over the season, Nickeil Alexander-Walker leads in points leagues (32.6 fantasy points a game to 32.4) and Fred VanVleet in 9-cat leagues (32nd against 35th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
Parlae may earn a commission from price links.
- Points leagues
- #74
- 32.4 FP/G, slot 7.02, $14
- 9-cat leagues
- #32
- +1.3 z, slot 3.08, $23
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #70
- 32.6 FP/G, slot 6.10, $14
- 9-cat leagues
- #35
- +1.2 z, slot 3.11, $22
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker. 32.6 fantasy points per game against 32.4, 70th on our board to 74th.
9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, +1.3 in summed z-scores against +1.2 (32nd to 35th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Fred VanVleet is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, STL and TO) and Nickeil Alexander-Walker in 5 (PTS, BLK, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Fred VanVleet produces more: 38.4 fantasy points to 36.3, on 30.4 minutes a night against 32.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Fred VanVleet plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 130.4 projected fantasy points to 97.2 for Fred VanVleet.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Fred VanVleet | Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 32.4 | 32.6 |
| Minutes | 30.4 | 32.3 |
| PointsPTS | 13.0 | 20.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| AssistsAST | 6.4 | 3.3 |
| StealsSTL | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 37.5% | 44.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.6% | 86.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 0 | 78 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Fred VanVleet | Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 38.4 | 36.3 |
| Points | 15.4 | 22.6 |
| Rebounds | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| Assists | 7.6 | 3.7 |
| Steals | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| Turnovers | 1.2 | 2.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Fred VanVleet | Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | +0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| AssistsAST | +1.3 | -0.2 |
| StealsSTL | +2.0 | +0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | -0.5 |
| Threes3PM | +0.7 | +1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.9 | -0.8 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.4 | +0.9 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | -0.1 |
| Total | +1.3 | +1.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, assists, steals and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Nickeil Alexander-Walker.
| Punt | Fred VanVleet | Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +1.9 (#17) | +0.4 (#47) |
| REB | +2.1 (#23) | +2.3 (#20) |
| AST | -0.2 (#60) | +1.2 (#31) |
| STL | -0.7 (#80) | +0.5 (#45) |
| BLK | +2.3 (#22) | +1.6 (#28) |
| 3PM | +0.5 (#46) | -0.6 (#74) |
| FG% | +3.2 (#16) | +2.1 (#28) |
| FT% | +0.9 (#39) | +0.1 (#53) |
| TO | +0.1 (#62) | +1.2 (#42) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Fred VanVleet: 3 games (Mon BOS, Wed MIN, Sat @PHX).
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 4 games (Mon @IND, Wed @WAS, Fri WAS, Sat BKN), 1 back-to-back.
Fred VanVleet or Nickeil Alexander-Walker: the Week 3 start/sit call
Recent games
- Fred VanVleet: 31.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 32.4 on the board.
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 32.6 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 32.6 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Fred VanVleet playing tonight? · Is Nickeil Alexander-Walker playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Fred VanVleet or Nickeil Alexander-Walker?
Points leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker. 32.6 fantasy points per game against 32.4, 70th on our board to 74th. 9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, +1.3 in summed z-scores against +1.2 (32nd to 35th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Fred VanVleet or Nickeil Alexander-Walker?
Category by category, Fred VanVleet is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, STL and TO) and Nickeil Alexander-Walker in 5 (PTS, BLK, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Fred VanVleet or Nickeil Alexander-Walker?
Fred VanVleet plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 130.4 projected fantasy points to 97.2 for Fred VanVleet.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number