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Jalen Williams vs Nickeil Alexander-Walker: who to start in Week 3

Jalen Williams plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 130.4 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jalen Williams. Over the season, Nickeil Alexander-Walker leads in both formats: 32.6 fantasy points a game to 32.5, and 35th against 85th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET.

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Jalen Williams
PFSFSGOKCage 25OUT
Points leagues
#71
32.5 FP/G, slot 6.11, $14
9-cat leagues
#85
-0.8 z, slot 8.01, $11

Out (Ankle)

Points leagues
#70
32.6 FP/G, slot 6.10, $14
9-cat leagues
#35
+1.2 z, slot 3.11, $22

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker. 32.6 fantasy points per game against 32.5, 70th on our board to 71st.

9-cat leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker again, +1.2 in summed z-scores against -0.8 (35th to 85th).

Category by category, Jalen Williams is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, FG% and TO) and Nickeil Alexander-Walker in 5 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Jalen Williams produces more: 40.5 fantasy points to 36.3, on 28.9 minutes a night against 32.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jalen Williams plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 130.4 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jalen Williams.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJalen WilliamsNickeil Alexander-Walker
Fantasy points per game32.532.6
Minutes28.932.3
PointsPTS16.520.3
ReboundsREB4.63.3
AssistsAST5.13.3
StealsSTL1.21.3
BlocksBLK0.30.5
Threes3PM0.73.2
Field goal %FG%46.8%44.9%
Free throw %FT%83.2%86.9%
TurnoversTO1.82.0
Games, 2025-263378

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jalen WilliamsNickeil Alexander-Walker
Fantasy points40.536.3
Points20.522.6
Rebounds5.73.7
Assists6.43.7
Steals1.51.4
Blocks0.40.5
Threes0.93.6
Turnovers2.32.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJalen WilliamsNickeil Alexander-Walker
PointsPTS-0.0+0.7
ReboundsREB-0.5-1.1
AssistsAST+0.7-0.2
StealsSTL+0.4+0.6
BlocksBLK-0.7-0.5
Threes3PM-1.0+1.6
Field goal percentageFG%-0.3-0.8
Free throw percentageFT%+0.4+0.9
TurnoversTO+0.2-0.1
Total-0.8+1.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting threes flips the 9-cat answer to Jalen Williams.

PuntJalen WilliamsNickeil Alexander-Walker
PTS-0.9 (#100)+0.4 (#47)
REB-0.4 (#80)+2.3 (#20)
AST-1.7 (#134)+1.2 (#31)
STL-1.3 (#108)+0.5 (#45)
BLK-0.3 (#74)+1.6 (#28)
3PM+0.0 (#58)-0.6 (#74)
FG%-0.8 (#84)+2.1 (#28)
FT%-1.3 (#106)+0.1 (#53)
TO-1.1 (#89)+1.2 (#42)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Jalen Williams: 4 games (Mon @CLE, Wed CLE, Fri @MEM, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 4 games (Mon @IND, Wed @WAS, Fri WAS, Sat BKN), 1 back-to-back.

Jalen Williams or Nickeil Alexander-Walker: the Week 3 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Jalen Williams: 27.9 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 32.5 on the board.
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 32.6 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 32.6 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jalen Williams playing tonight? · Is Nickeil Alexander-Walker playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Jalen Williams, Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jalen Williams or Nickeil Alexander-Walker?

    Points leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker. 32.6 fantasy points per game against 32.5, 70th on our board to 71st. 9-cat leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker again, +1.2 in summed z-scores against -0.8 (35th to 85th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jalen Williams or Nickeil Alexander-Walker?

    Category by category, Jalen Williams is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, FG% and TO) and Nickeil Alexander-Walker in 5 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Jalen Williams or Nickeil Alexander-Walker?

    Jalen Williams plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 130.4 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jalen Williams.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number