Fred VanVleet vs Tyler Herro: who to start in Week 3
Fred VanVleet plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tyler Herro 4. For that week alone, start Tyler Herro: 137.0 projected fantasy points to 94.0 for Fred VanVleet. Over the season, Tyler Herro leads in points leagues (34.2 fantasy points a game to 31.3) and Fred VanVleet in 9-cat leagues (42nd against 44th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #81
- 31.3 FP/G, slot 7.09, $12
- 9-cat leagues
- #42
- +0.7 z, slot 4.06, $19
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #59
- 34.2 FP/G, slot 5.11, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #44
- +0.5 z, slot 4.08, $18
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Tyler Herro. 34.2 fantasy points per game against 31.3, 59th on our board to 81st.
9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, +0.7 in summed z-scores against +0.5 (42nd to 44th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Fred VanVleet is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and TO) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Tyler Herro produces more: 39.8 fantasy points to 37.8, on 31.0 minutes a night against 29.8. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Fred VanVleet plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tyler Herro 4. For that week alone, start Tyler Herro: 137.0 projected fantasy points to 94.0 for Fred VanVleet.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Fred VanVleet | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 31.3 | 34.2 |
| Minutes | 29.8 | 31.0 |
| PointsPTS | 12.2 | 20.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| AssistsAST | 6.8 | 4.1 |
| StealsSTL | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| Field goal %FG% | 36.9% | 47.3% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.6% | 84.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 0 | 33 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Fred VanVleet | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 37.8 | 39.8 |
| Points | 14.7 | 24.3 |
| Rebounds | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| Assists | 8.2 | 4.7 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| Turnovers | 1.2 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Fred VanVleet | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.8 | +0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| AssistsAST | +1.5 | +0.1 |
| StealsSTL | +1.6 | -0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | +0.7 | +1.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.9 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.3 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | -0.1 |
| Total | +0.7 | +0.5 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting assists, steals and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Tyler Herro.
| Punt | Fred VanVleet | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +1.4 (#26) | -0.3 (#77) |
| REB | +1.6 (#23) | +1.0 (#33) |
| AST | -1.0 (#99) | +0.2 (#53) |
| STL | -1.0 (#97) | +1.0 (#38) |
| BLK | +1.6 (#27) | +1.2 (#33) |
| 3PM | -0.1 (#58) | -0.9 (#87) |
| FG% | +2.6 (#20) | +0.8 (#44) |
| FT% | +0.3 (#48) | -0.1 (#63) |
| TO | -0.5 (#73) | +0.6 (#51) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Fred VanVleet: 3 games (Mon BOS, Wed MIN, Sat @PHX).
- Tyler Herro: 4 games (Mon @MIN, Wed @BOS, Fri TOR, Sun BOS).
Recent games
- Fred VanVleet: 31.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 31.3 on the board.
- Tyler Herro: 35.4 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 34.2 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Fred VanVleet playing tonight? · Is Tyler Herro playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Fred VanVleet or Tyler Herro?
Points leagues: Tyler Herro. 34.2 fantasy points per game against 31.3, 59th on our board to 81st. 9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, +0.7 in summed z-scores against +0.5 (42nd to 44th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Fred VanVleet or Tyler Herro?
Category by category, Fred VanVleet is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and TO) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Fred VanVleet or Tyler Herro?
Fred VanVleet plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tyler Herro 4. For that week alone, start Tyler Herro: 137.0 projected fantasy points to 94.0 for Fred VanVleet.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number