Ja Morant vs Tyler Herro: who to start in Week 2
Ja Morant plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Ja Morant: 105.3 projected fantasy points to 104.7 for Tyler Herro. Over the season, Ja Morant leads in points leagues (35.1 fantasy points a game to 34.9) and Tyler Herro in 9-cat leagues (41st against 108th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 28, 8:33 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #45
- 35.1 FP/G, slot 4.09, $19
- 9-cat leagues
- #108
- -1.4 z, slot 9.12, $7
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #46
- 34.9 FP/G, slot 4.10, $19
- 9-cat leagues
- #41
- +0.7 z, slot 4.05, $19
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Ja Morant. 35.1 fantasy points per game against 34.9, 45th on our board to 46th.
9-cat leagues: Tyler Herro instead, +0.7 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (41st to 108th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Ja Morant is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and FT%) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Ja Morant produces more: 44.9 fantasy points to 40.0, on 28.2 minutes a night against 31.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Ja Morant plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Ja Morant: 105.3 projected fantasy points to 104.7 for Tyler Herro.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Ja Morant | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 35.1 | 34.9 |
| Minutes | 28.2 | 31.4 |
| PointsPTS | 18.9 | 21.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.2 | 5.0 |
| AssistsAST | 7.8 | 4.5 |
| StealsSTL | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.1 | 2.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 43.2% | 47.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 89.3% | 85.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 20 | 33 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Ja Morant | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 44.9 | 40.0 |
| Points | 24.2 | 24.2 |
| Rebounds | 4.0 | 5.7 |
| Assists | 9.9 | 5.1 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.4 | 3.1 |
| Turnovers | 4.1 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Ja Morant | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.5 | +0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| AssistsAST | +2.1 | +0.4 |
| StealsSTL | +0.1 | -0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.9 | -0.7 |
| Threes3PM | -0.6 | +1.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.4 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.7 | +0.7 |
| TurnoversTO | -1.6 | -0.2 |
| Total | -1.4 | +0.7 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Tyler Herro stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Ja Morant | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.9 (#161) | -0.2 (#64) |
| REB | -0.2 (#67) | +1.1 (#34) |
| AST | -3.6 (#220) | +0.1 (#53) |
| STL | -1.6 (#125) | +1.4 (#30) |
| BLK | -0.5 (#80) | +1.4 (#32) |
| 3PM | -1.0 (#93) | -0.7 (#81) |
| FG% | +0.0 (#59) | +1.0 (#38) |
| FT% | -3.1 (#184) | -0.1 (#60) |
| TO | +0.2 (#58) | +0.9 (#44) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Ja Morant: 3 games (Tue @LAL, Thu MEM, Sat @UTA).
- Tyler Herro: 3 games (Mon IND, Wed HOU, Sat CLE).
Recent games
- Ja Morant: 31.7 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 35.1 on the board.
- Tyler Herro: 39.5 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 34.9 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Ja Morant playing tonight? · Is Tyler Herro playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Ja Morant
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ja Morant or Tyler Herro?
Points leagues: Ja Morant. 35.1 fantasy points per game against 34.9, 45th on our board to 46th. 9-cat leagues: Tyler Herro instead, +0.7 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (41st to 108th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Ja Morant or Tyler Herro?
Category by category, Ja Morant is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and FT%) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 2, Ja Morant or Tyler Herro?
Ja Morant plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Ja Morant: 105.3 projected fantasy points to 104.7 for Tyler Herro.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 28, 2026 at 8:33 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number