Herbert Jones vs Mitchell Robinson: who to start in Week 3
Herbert Jones plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Mitchell Robinson 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 82.3 projected fantasy points to 78.1 for Herbert Jones. Over the season, Mitchell Robinson leads in points leagues (20.6 fantasy points a game to 19.5) and Herbert Jones in 9-cat leagues (198th against 213th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #226
- 19.5 FP/G, slot 19.10
- 9-cat leagues
- #198
- -3.7 z, slot 17.06
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #202
- 20.6 FP/G, slot 17.10
- 9-cat leagues
- #213
- -4.0 z, slot 18.09
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 20.6 fantasy points per game against 19.5, 202nd on our board to 226th.
9-cat leagues: Herbert Jones instead, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -4.0 (198th to 213th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Herbert Jones is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Mitchell Robinson produces more: 38.0 fantasy points to 26.7, on 19.5 minutes a night against 26.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Herbert Jones plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Mitchell Robinson 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 82.3 projected fantasy points to 78.1 for Herbert Jones.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Herbert Jones | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 19.5 | 20.6 |
| Minutes | 26.3 | 19.5 |
| PointsPTS | 8.3 | 5.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.2 | 7.5 |
| AssistsAST | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| StealsSTL | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 40.1% | 75.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 80.5% | 40.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 56 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Herbert Jones | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 26.7 | 38.0 |
| Points | 11.4 | 10.7 |
| Rebounds | 4.3 | 13.9 |
| Assists | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| Threes | 1.7 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Herbert Jones | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.5 | -2.0 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | +0.7 |
| AssistsAST | -0.8 | -1.5 |
| StealsSTL | +1.0 | -0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.6 | +0.7 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.0 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.0 | -2.4 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.8 | +1.5 |
| Total | -3.7 | -4.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Mitchell Robinson.
| Punt | Herbert Jones | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.2 (#182) | -2.1 (#173) |
| REB | -2.6 (#173) | -5.1 (#314) |
| AST | -3.0 (#197) | -2.5 (#178) |
| STL | -4.7 (#300) | -3.3 (#204) |
| BLK | -3.3 (#180) | -5.1 (#283) |
| 3PM | -3.2 (#204) | -2.1 (#150) |
| FG% | -2.9 (#157) | -6.3 (#312) |
| FT% | -3.7 (#212) | -1.5 (#117) |
| TO | -4.6 (#194) | -5.7 (#239) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Herbert Jones: 4 games (Mon @MEM, Wed UTA, Fri MIN, Sun @LAC).
- Mitchell Robinson: 4 games (Mon @HOU, Wed MIL, Fri @CHA, Sun @MIL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Herbert Jones: 14.3 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 19.5 on the board.
- Mitchell Robinson: 14.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 20.6 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Herbert Jones playing tonight? · Is Mitchell Robinson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Mitchell Robinson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Herbert Jones or Mitchell Robinson?
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 20.6 fantasy points per game against 19.5, 202nd on our board to 226th. 9-cat leagues: Herbert Jones instead, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -4.0 (198th to 213th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Herbert Jones or Mitchell Robinson?
Category by category, Herbert Jones is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Herbert Jones or Mitchell Robinson?
Herbert Jones plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Mitchell Robinson 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 82.3 projected fantasy points to 78.1 for Herbert Jones.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number