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Isaiah Hartenstein vs Jakob Poeltl: who to start in Week 1

Isaiah Hartenstein plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jakob Poeltl 3. For that week alone, start Isaiah Hartenstein: 83.7 projected fantasy points to 75.1 for Jakob Poeltl. Over the season, Isaiah Hartenstein leads in points leagues (27.9 fantasy points a game to 25.0) and Jakob Poeltl in 9-cat leagues (113th against 116th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 10:27 PM ET.

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Points leagues
#106
27.9 FP/G, slot 9.10, $9
9-cat leagues
#116
-1.6 z, slot 10.08, $6

The pick in points leagues.

Jakob Poeltl
CTORage 31
Points leagues
#132
25.0 FP/G, slot 11.12, $5
9-cat leagues
#113
-1.5 z, slot 10.05, $6

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Isaiah Hartenstein. 27.9 fantasy points per game against 25.0, 106th on our board to 132nd.

9-cat leagues: Jakob Poeltl instead, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.6 (113th to 116th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Isaiah Hartenstein is ahead in 5 (REB, AST, STL, BLK and FT%) and Jakob Poeltl in 3 (PTS, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Isaiah Hartenstein produces more: 42.4 fantasy points to 36.2, on 23.7 minutes a night against 24.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Isaiah Hartenstein plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jakob Poeltl 3. For that week alone, start Isaiah Hartenstein: 83.7 projected fantasy points to 75.1 for Jakob Poeltl.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameIsaiah HartensteinJakob Poeltl
Fantasy points per game27.925.0
Minutes23.724.9
PointsPTS8.710.0
ReboundsREB8.87.1
AssistsAST3.41.9
StealsSTL1.00.9
BlocksBLK0.80.7
Threes3PM0.00.0
Field goal %FG%58.7%70.2%
Free throw %FT%61.0%60.2%
TurnoversTO1.81.2
Games, 2025-264746

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Isaiah HartensteinJakob Poeltl
Fantasy points42.436.2
Points13.214.4
Rebounds13.410.2
Assists5.22.7
Steals1.51.3
Blocks1.21.1
Threes0.00.0
Turnovers2.71.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryIsaiah HartensteinJakob Poeltl
PointsPTS-1.3-1.1
ReboundsREB+1.4+0.6
AssistsAST-0.1-0.9
StealsSTL-0.2-0.4
BlocksBLK+0.2+0.1
Threes3PM-1.7-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%+1.1+2.2
Free throw percentageFT%-1.2-1.3
TurnoversTO+0.1+0.9
Total-1.6-1.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Isaiah Hartenstein.

PuntIsaiah HartensteinJakob Poeltl
PTS-0.3 (#72)-0.5 (#81)
REB-3.3 (#216)-2.5 (#163)
AST-1.6 (#130)-0.8 (#89)
STL-1.5 (#121)-1.3 (#108)
BLK-2.2 (#144)-2.0 (#130)
3PM+0.1 (#60)+0.1 (#58)
FG%-3.5 (#175)-4.6 (#237)
FT%-0.4 (#74)-0.2 (#68)
TO-1.9 (#109)-2.6 (#129)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Isaiah Hartenstein: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC).
  • Jakob Poeltl: 3 games (Wed CHI, Fri @WAS, Sun @MIN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Isaiah Hartenstein: 16.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 27.9 on the board.
  • Jakob Poeltl: 20.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 25.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Isaiah Hartenstein playing tonight? · Is Jakob Poeltl playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Isaiah Hartenstein or Jakob Poeltl?

    Points leagues: Isaiah Hartenstein. 27.9 fantasy points per game against 25.0, 106th on our board to 132nd. 9-cat leagues: Jakob Poeltl instead, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.6 (113th to 116th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Isaiah Hartenstein or Jakob Poeltl?

    Category by category, Isaiah Hartenstein is ahead in 5 (REB, AST, STL, BLK and FT%) and Jakob Poeltl in 3 (PTS, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Isaiah Hartenstein or Jakob Poeltl?

    Isaiah Hartenstein plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jakob Poeltl 3. For that week alone, start Isaiah Hartenstein: 83.7 projected fantasy points to 75.1 for Jakob Poeltl.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number