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Jakob Poeltl vs Rudy Gobert: who to start in Week 1

Jakob Poeltl plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Rudy Gobert 3. For that week alone, start Rudy Gobert: 95.2 projected fantasy points to 75.1 for Jakob Poeltl. Over the season, Rudy Gobert leads in points leagues (31.7 fantasy points a game to 25.0) and Jakob Poeltl in 9-cat leagues (115th against 116th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 2:26 AM ET.

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Jakob Poeltl
CTORage 31
Points leagues
#133
25.0 FP/G, slot 12.01, $5
9-cat leagues
#115
-1.6 z, slot 10.07, $6

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Rudy Gobert
CMINage 34
Points leagues
#70
31.7 FP/G, slot 6.10, $14
9-cat leagues
#116
-1.6 z, slot 10.08, $6

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Rudy Gobert. 31.7 fantasy points per game against 25.0, 70th on our board to 133rd.

9-cat leagues: Jakob Poeltl instead, -1.6 in summed z-scores against -1.6 (115th to 116th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jakob Poeltl is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, FG%, FT% and TO) and Rudy Gobert in 3 (PTS, REB and BLK).

Per 36 minutes, Rudy Gobert produces more: 36.5 fantasy points to 36.2, on 31.3 minutes a night against 24.9. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Jakob Poeltl plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Rudy Gobert 3. For that week alone, start Rudy Gobert: 95.2 projected fantasy points to 75.1 for Jakob Poeltl.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJakob PoeltlRudy Gobert
Fantasy points per game25.031.7
Minutes24.931.3
PointsPTS10.010.7
ReboundsREB7.111.5
AssistsAST1.91.6
StealsSTL0.90.7
BlocksBLK0.71.4
Threes3PM0.00.0
Field goal %FG%70.2%67.5%
Free throw %FT%60.2%53.6%
TurnoversTO1.21.6
Games, 2025-264676

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jakob PoeltlRudy Gobert
Fantasy points36.236.5
Points14.412.3
Rebounds10.213.3
Assists2.71.8
Steals1.30.8
Blocks1.11.7
Threes0.00.0
Turnovers1.71.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJakob PoeltlRudy Gobert
PointsPTS-1.1-1.0
ReboundsREB+0.6+2.6
AssistsAST-0.9-1.0
StealsSTL-0.4-1.0
BlocksBLK+0.1+1.6
Threes3PM-1.7-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%+2.2+2.0
Free throw percentageFT%-1.3-3.4
TurnoversTO+0.9+0.3
Total-1.6-1.6

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals, threes, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Rudy Gobert.

PuntJakob PoeltlRudy Gobert
PTS-0.5 (#80)-0.7 (#90)
REB-2.5 (#161)-4.9 (#290)
AST-0.7 (#83)-0.6 (#76)
STL-1.2 (#107)-0.6 (#80)
BLK-2.0 (#128)-3.7 (#213)
3PM+0.2 (#54)+0.3 (#50)
FG%-4.5 (#237)-4.9 (#247)
FT%-0.2 (#68)+2.0 (#22)
TO-2.6 (#129)-2.1 (#111)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jakob Poeltl: 3 games (Wed CHI, Fri @WAS, Sun @MIN).
  • Rudy Gobert: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jakob Poeltl: 20.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 25.0 on the board.
  • Rudy Gobert: 22.4 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 31.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jakob Poeltl playing tonight? · Is Rudy Gobert playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Rudy Gobert

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jakob Poeltl or Rudy Gobert?

    Points leagues: Rudy Gobert. 31.7 fantasy points per game against 25.0, 70th on our board to 133rd. 9-cat leagues: Jakob Poeltl instead, -1.6 in summed z-scores against -1.6 (115th to 116th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jakob Poeltl or Rudy Gobert?

    Category by category, Jakob Poeltl is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, FG%, FT% and TO) and Rudy Gobert in 3 (PTS, REB and BLK).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jakob Poeltl or Rudy Gobert?

    Jakob Poeltl plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Rudy Gobert 3. For that week alone, start Rudy Gobert: 95.2 projected fantasy points to 75.1 for Jakob Poeltl.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 2:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number