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Isaiah Hartenstein vs Pascal Siakam: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Pascal Siakam in points leagues (39.9 fantasy points a game to 29.4) and Isaiah Hartenstein in 9-cat leagues (89th against 92nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Isaiah Hartenstein
COKCage 28GTD
Points leagues
#95
29.4 FP/G, slot 8.11, $10
9-cat leagues
#89
-1.0 z, slot 8.05, $10

Game-time decision (Ankle)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Pascal Siakam
PFCINDage 32
Points leagues
#28
39.9 FP/G, slot 3.04, $26
9-cat leagues
#92
-1.1 z, slot 8.08, $10

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Pascal Siakam. 39.9 fantasy points per game against 29.4, 28th on our board to 95th.

9-cat leagues: Isaiah Hartenstein instead, -1.0 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (89th to 92nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Isaiah Hartenstein is ahead in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Pascal Siakam in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM).

Per 36 minutes, Isaiah Hartenstein produces more: 43.8 fantasy points to 43.3, on 24.2 minutes a night against 33.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Isaiah Hartenstein plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pascal Siakam 3. For that week alone, start Pascal Siakam: 119.8 projected fantasy points to 88.3 for Isaiah Hartenstein.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameIsaiah HartensteinPascal Siakam
Fantasy points per game29.439.9
Minutes24.233.2
PointsPTS9.224.0
ReboundsREB9.46.6
AssistsAST3.53.8
StealsSTL1.01.1
BlocksBLK0.80.4
Threes3PM0.01.7
Field goal %FG%62.2%48.4%
Free throw %FT%61.0%69.3%
TurnoversTO1.72.2
Games, 2025-264762

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Isaiah HartensteinPascal Siakam
Fantasy points43.843.3
Points13.726.0
Rebounds14.07.2
Assists5.34.1
Steals1.51.2
Blocks1.10.4
Threes0.01.8
Turnovers2.62.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryIsaiah HartensteinPascal Siakam
PointsPTS-1.3+1.3
ReboundsREB+1.6+0.3
AssistsAST-0.1+0.1
StealsSTL+0.0+0.3
BlocksBLK+0.2-0.6
Threes3PM-1.7+0.0
Field goal percentageFG%+1.4-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-1.3-1.9
TurnoversTO+0.2-0.5
Total-1.0-1.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Pascal Siakam.

PuntIsaiah HartensteinPascal Siakam
PTS+0.2 (#60)-2.5 (#192)
REB-3.0 (#195)-1.9 (#131)
AST-1.0 (#93)-1.4 (#123)
STL-1.1 (#100)-1.6 (#122)
BLK-1.6 (#107)-0.8 (#81)
3PM+0.7 (#45)-1.3 (#101)
FG%-3.3 (#166)-1.9 (#120)
FT%+0.3 (#55)+0.7 (#43)
TO-1.4 (#95)-0.7 (#75)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Isaiah Hartenstein: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC), listed GTD.
  • Pascal Siakam: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Isaiah Hartenstein: 27.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 29.4 on the board.
  • Pascal Siakam: 38.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 39.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Isaiah Hartenstein or Pascal Siakam in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Pascal Siakam. 39.9 fantasy points per game against 29.4, 28th on our board to 95th. 9-cat leagues: Isaiah Hartenstein instead, -1.0 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (89th to 92nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Isaiah Hartenstein or Pascal Siakam?

    Category by category, Isaiah Hartenstein is ahead in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Pascal Siakam in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Isaiah Hartenstein or Pascal Siakam?

    Isaiah Hartenstein plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pascal Siakam 3. For that week alone, start Pascal Siakam: 119.8 projected fantasy points to 88.3 for Isaiah Hartenstein.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number