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Isaiah Joe vs Luke Kennard: who to start in Week 1

Isaiah Joe plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luke Kennard 2. For that week alone, start Isaiah Joe: 53.9 projected fantasy points to 32.8 for Luke Kennard. Over the season, Isaiah Joe leads in points leagues (18.0 fantasy points a game to 16.4) and Luke Kennard in 9-cat leagues (186th against 187th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET.

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Isaiah Joe
SGSFDETage 27
Points leagues
#232
18.0 FP/G, slot 20.04
9-cat leagues
#187
-3.4 z, slot 16.07

The pick in points leagues.

Luke Kennard
SGPGSFPHXage 30
Points leagues
#256
16.4 FP/G, slot 22.04
9-cat leagues
#186
-3.4 z, slot 16.06

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Isaiah Joe. 18.0 fantasy points per game against 16.4, 232nd on our board to 256th.

9-cat leagues: Luke Kennard instead, -3.4 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (186th to 187th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Isaiah Joe is ahead in 5 (PTS, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Luke Kennard in 3 (AST, STL and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Isaiah Joe produces more: 30.8 fantasy points to 27.7, on 21.0 minutes a night against 21.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Isaiah Joe plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luke Kennard 2. For that week alone, start Isaiah Joe: 53.9 projected fantasy points to 32.8 for Luke Kennard.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameIsaiah JoeLuke Kennard
Fantasy points per game18.016.4
Minutes21.021.3
PointsPTS10.98.5
ReboundsREB2.52.4
AssistsAST1.32.2
StealsSTL0.70.7
BlocksBLK0.20.1
Threes3PM2.41.6
Field goal %FG%43.8%54.2%
Free throw %FT%85.6%91.3%
TurnoversTO0.70.7
Games, 2025-267178

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Isaiah JoeLuke Kennard
Fantasy points30.827.7
Points18.814.4
Rebounds4.44.1
Assists2.33.6
Steals1.21.2
Blocks0.30.2
Threes4.22.7
Turnovers1.21.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryIsaiah JoeLuke Kennard
PointsPTS-0.9-1.4
ReboundsREB-1.4-1.5
AssistsAST-1.1-0.7
StealsSTL-0.9-0.8
BlocksBLK-1.0-1.2
Threes3PM+0.8-0.0
Field goal percentageFG%-0.6+0.5
Free throw percentageFT%+0.4+0.3
TurnoversTO+1.5+1.4
Total-3.4-3.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Isaiah Joe.

PuntIsaiah JoeLuke Kennard
PTS-2.5 (#195)-2.0 (#169)
REB-2.1 (#140)-2.0 (#133)
AST-2.4 (#169)-2.7 (#184)
STL-2.6 (#168)-2.7 (#171)
BLK-2.6 (#153)-2.3 (#148)
3PM-4.3 (#242)-3.4 (#201)
FG%-2.8 (#151)-4.0 (#209)
FT%-3.9 (#212)-3.7 (#208)
TO-5.0 (#209)-4.9 (#206)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Isaiah Joe: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
  • Luke Kennard: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Isaiah Joe: 17.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 18.0 on the board.
  • Luke Kennard: 20.3 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 16.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Isaiah Joe playing tonight? · Is Luke Kennard playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Isaiah Joe or Luke Kennard?

    Points leagues: Isaiah Joe. 18.0 fantasy points per game against 16.4, 232nd on our board to 256th. 9-cat leagues: Luke Kennard instead, -3.4 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (186th to 187th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Isaiah Joe or Luke Kennard?

    Category by category, Isaiah Joe is ahead in 5 (PTS, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Luke Kennard in 3 (AST, STL and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Isaiah Joe or Luke Kennard?

    Isaiah Joe plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luke Kennard 2. For that week alone, start Isaiah Joe: 53.9 projected fantasy points to 32.8 for Luke Kennard.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number