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Kevin Huerter vs Luke Kennard: who to start in Week 1

Kevin Huerter plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luke Kennard 2. For that week alone, start Kevin Huerter: 61.2 projected fantasy points to 32.8 for Luke Kennard. Over the season, Kevin Huerter leads in points leagues (20.4 fantasy points a game to 16.4) and Luke Kennard in 9-cat leagues (186th against 188th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET.

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Kevin Huerter
SGSFDETage 28
Points leagues
#199
20.4 FP/G, slot 17.07
9-cat leagues
#188
-3.5 z, slot 16.08

The pick in points leagues.

Luke Kennard
SGPGSFPHXage 30
Points leagues
#256
16.4 FP/G, slot 22.04
9-cat leagues
#186
-3.4 z, slot 16.06

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Kevin Huerter. 20.4 fantasy points per game against 16.4, 199th on our board to 256th.

9-cat leagues: Luke Kennard instead, -3.4 in summed z-scores against -3.5 (186th to 188th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Kevin Huerter is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and BLK) and Luke Kennard in 4 (3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Kevin Huerter produces more: 33.3 fantasy points to 27.7, on 22.0 minutes a night against 21.3. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Kevin Huerter plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luke Kennard 2. For that week alone, start Kevin Huerter: 61.2 projected fantasy points to 32.8 for Luke Kennard.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameKevin HuerterLuke Kennard
Fantasy points per game20.416.4
Minutes22.021.3
PointsPTS9.38.5
ReboundsREB3.62.4
AssistsAST2.52.2
StealsSTL0.90.7
BlocksBLK0.50.1
Threes3PM1.41.6
Field goal %FG%43.7%54.2%
Free throw %FT%77.5%91.3%
TurnoversTO1.00.7
Games, 2025-266978

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Kevin HuerterLuke Kennard
Fantasy points33.327.7
Points15.214.4
Rebounds5.94.1
Assists4.13.6
Steals1.41.2
Blocks0.80.2
Threes2.32.7
Turnovers1.71.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryKevin HuerterLuke Kennard
PointsPTS-1.2-1.4
ReboundsREB-0.9-1.5
AssistsAST-0.6-0.7
StealsSTL-0.4-0.8
BlocksBLK-0.4-1.2
Threes3PM-0.3-0.0
Field goal percentageFG%-0.7+0.5
Free throw percentageFT%-0.1+0.3
TurnoversTO+1.0+1.4
Total-3.5-3.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting threes, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Kevin Huerter.

PuntKevin HuerterLuke Kennard
PTS-2.3 (#187)-2.0 (#169)
REB-2.7 (#176)-2.0 (#133)
AST-3.0 (#198)-2.7 (#184)
STL-3.2 (#194)-2.7 (#171)
BLK-3.4 (#188)-2.3 (#148)
3PM-3.3 (#194)-3.4 (#201)
FG%-3.1 (#160)-4.0 (#209)
FT%-3.5 (#196)-3.7 (#208)
TO-4.7 (#198)-4.9 (#206)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Kevin Huerter: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
  • Luke Kennard: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Kevin Huerter: 14.4 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 20.4 on the board.
  • Luke Kennard: 20.3 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 16.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Kevin Huerter playing tonight? · Is Luke Kennard playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Kevin Huerter or Luke Kennard?

    Points leagues: Kevin Huerter. 20.4 fantasy points per game against 16.4, 199th on our board to 256th. 9-cat leagues: Luke Kennard instead, -3.4 in summed z-scores against -3.5 (186th to 188th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Kevin Huerter or Luke Kennard?

    Category by category, Kevin Huerter is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and BLK) and Luke Kennard in 4 (3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Kevin Huerter or Luke Kennard?

    Kevin Huerter plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luke Kennard 2. For that week alone, start Kevin Huerter: 61.2 projected fantasy points to 32.8 for Luke Kennard.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number