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Stephon Castle vs Tyler Herro: who to start in Week 1

Stephon Castle plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tyler Herro 3, an even 104.5 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Tyler Herro leads in both formats: 34.8 fantasy points a game to 34.8, and 35th against 146th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Stephon Castle
SGPGSASage 21
Points leagues
#50
34.8 FP/G, slot 5.02, $19
9-cat leagues
#146
-2.2 z, slot 13.02, $2
Tyler Herro
SGPGMILage 26
Points leagues
#49
34.8 FP/G, slot 5.01, $19
9-cat leagues
#35
+1.1 z, slot 3.11, $22

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Tyler Herro. 34.8 fantasy points per game against 34.8, 49th on our board to 50th.

9-cat leagues: Tyler Herro again, +1.1 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (35th to 146th).

Category by category, Stephon Castle is ahead in 3 (REB, AST and STL) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, BLK, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Stephon Castle produces more: 41.7 fantasy points to 40.0, on 30.0 minutes a night against 31.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Stephon Castle plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tyler Herro 3, an even 104.5 projected fantasy points each.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameStephon CastleTyler Herro
Fantasy points per game34.834.8
Minutes30.031.3
PointsPTS17.021.5
ReboundsREB5.54.6
AssistsAST6.94.4
StealsSTL1.10.7
BlocksBLK0.20.3
Threes3PM1.52.8
Field goal %FG%46.2%47.8%
Free throw %FT%72.9%89.5%
TurnoversTO3.12.0
Games, 2025-266833

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Stephon CastleTyler Herro
Fantasy points41.740.0
Points20.424.7
Rebounds6.65.3
Assists8.25.1
Steals1.30.8
Blocks0.30.4
Threes1.83.2
Turnovers3.72.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryStephon CastleTyler Herro
PointsPTS+0.1+0.9
ReboundsREB-0.1-0.5
AssistsAST+1.7+0.4
StealsSTL+0.1-0.8
BlocksBLK-0.9-0.8
Threes3PM-0.1+1.2
Field goal percentageFG%-0.5-0.2
Free throw percentageFT%-1.1+1.1
TurnoversTO-1.5-0.2
Total-2.2+1.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Tyler Herro stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntStephon CastleTyler Herro
PTS-2.4 (#193)+0.2 (#53)
REB-2.5 (#162)+1.8 (#26)
AST-4.0 (#242)+0.7 (#42)
STL-2.4 (#160)+1.8 (#27)
BLK-1.6 (#112)+2.0 (#27)
3PM-2.2 (#148)-0.2 (#66)
FG%-2.4 (#141)+1.7 (#33)
FT%-1.2 (#105)-0.1 (#65)
TO-0.8 (#72)+1.3 (#41)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Stephon Castle: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.
  • Tyler Herro: 3 games (Wed @WAS, Fri CHI, Sat @PHI), 1 back-to-back.

Stephon Castle or Tyler Herro: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Stephon Castle: 31.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 34.8 on the board.
  • Tyler Herro: 43.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 34.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Stephon Castle playing tonight? · Is Tyler Herro playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Stephon Castle

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Stephon Castle or Tyler Herro?

    Points leagues: Tyler Herro. 34.8 fantasy points per game against 34.8, 49th on our board to 50th. 9-cat leagues: Tyler Herro again, +1.1 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (35th to 146th).

  • Who wins more categories, Stephon Castle or Tyler Herro?

    Category by category, Stephon Castle is ahead in 3 (REB, AST and STL) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, BLK, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Stephon Castle or Tyler Herro?

    Stephon Castle plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tyler Herro 3, an even 104.5 projected fantasy points each.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number