Jabari Smith Jr. vs Saddiq Bey: who to start in Week 1
Jabari Smith Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Jabari Smith Jr.: 93.4 projected fantasy points to 88.4 for Saddiq Bey. Over the season, Jabari Smith Jr. leads in both formats: 31.1 fantasy points a game to 29.5, and 55th against 82nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 4:57 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #73
- 31.1 FP/G, slot 7.01, $13
- 9-cat leagues
- #55
- +0.1 z, slot 5.07, $16
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #90
- 29.5 FP/G, slot 8.06, $11
- 9-cat leagues
- #82
- -0.8 z, slot 7.10, $11
The call
Points leagues: Jabari Smith Jr.. 31.1 fantasy points per game against 29.5, 73rd on our board to 90th.
9-cat leagues: Jabari Smith Jr. again, +0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.8 (55th to 82nd).
Category by category, Jabari Smith Jr. is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, 3PM and FG%) and Saddiq Bey in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Saddiq Bey produces more: 34.5 fantasy points to 31.9, on 30.7 minutes a night against 35.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jabari Smith Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Jabari Smith Jr.: 93.4 projected fantasy points to 88.4 for Saddiq Bey.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jabari Smith Jr. | Saddiq Bey |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 31.1 | 29.5 |
| Minutes | 35.2 | 30.7 |
| PointsPTS | 16.7 | 17.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 6.8 | 5.5 |
| AssistsAST | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Threes3PM | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 46.6% | 45.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 77.8% | 84.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 77 | 72 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jabari Smith Jr. | Saddiq Bey |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 31.9 | 34.5 |
| Points | 17.1 | 20.3 |
| Rebounds | 6.9 | 6.5 |
| Assists | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Threes | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Turnovers | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jabari Smith Jr. | Saddiq Bey |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.0 | +0.2 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.4 | -0.1 |
| AssistsAST | -0.9 | -0.6 |
| StealsSTL | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.4 | -1.2 |
| Threes3PM | +0.8 | +0.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | +0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.7 | +1.1 |
| Total | +0.1 | -0.8 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Saddiq Bey.
| Punt | Jabari Smith Jr. | Saddiq Bey |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.0 (#56) | -1.0 (#106) |
| REB | -0.4 (#65) | -0.8 (#81) |
| AST | +1.0 (#36) | -0.3 (#68) |
| STL | +0.7 (#42) | -0.5 (#76) |
| BLK | -0.4 (#70) | +0.3 (#53) |
| 3PM | -0.7 (#86) | -1.4 (#109) |
| FG% | +0.5 (#49) | -0.1 (#62) |
| FT% | +0.2 (#56) | -1.5 (#117) |
| TO | -0.6 (#70) | -1.9 (#109) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jabari Smith Jr.: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back.
- Saddiq Bey: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Jabari Smith Jr.: 42.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 31.1 on the board.
- Saddiq Bey: 17.0 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 29.5 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jabari Smith Jr. playing tonight? · Is Saddiq Bey playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jabari Smith Jr. or Saddiq Bey?
Points leagues: Jabari Smith Jr.. 31.1 fantasy points per game against 29.5, 73rd on our board to 90th. 9-cat leagues: Jabari Smith Jr. again, +0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.8 (55th to 82nd).
Who wins more categories, Jabari Smith Jr. or Saddiq Bey?
Category by category, Jabari Smith Jr. is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, 3PM and FG%) and Saddiq Bey in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jabari Smith Jr. or Saddiq Bey?
Jabari Smith Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Jabari Smith Jr.: 93.4 projected fantasy points to 88.4 for Saddiq Bey.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 4:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number