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Jaden McDaniels vs Saddiq Bey: who to start in Week 1

Jaden McDaniels plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Saddiq Bey: 87.8 projected fantasy points to 87.6 for Jaden McDaniels. Over the season, Saddiq Bey leads in points leagues (29.3 fantasy points a game to 29.2) and Jaden McDaniels in 9-cat leagues (43rd against 71st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Jaden McDaniels
SFPFMINage 26
Points leagues
#92
29.2 FP/G, slot 8.08, $11
9-cat leagues
#43
+0.7 z, slot 4.07, $20

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Saddiq Bey
SFPFNOPage 27
Points leagues
#91
29.3 FP/G, slot 8.07, $11
9-cat leagues
#71
-0.6 z, slot 6.11, $12

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Saddiq Bey. 29.3 fantasy points per game against 29.2, 91st on our board to 92nd.

9-cat leagues: Jaden McDaniels instead, +0.7 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (43rd to 71st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jaden McDaniels is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, BLK and FG%) and Saddiq Bey in 5 (PTS, REB, 3PM, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Saddiq Bey produces more: 34.8 fantasy points to 33.4, on 30.2 minutes a night against 31.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jaden McDaniels plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Saddiq Bey: 87.8 projected fantasy points to 87.6 for Jaden McDaniels.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJaden McDanielsSaddiq Bey
Fantasy points per game29.229.3
Minutes31.530.2
PointsPTS15.017.5
ReboundsREB4.65.4
AssistsAST2.62.3
StealsSTL1.20.8
BlocksBLK1.00.1
Threes3PM1.42.1
Field goal %FG%52.1%46.2%
Free throw %FT%84.0%85.0%
TurnoversTO1.71.1
Games, 2025-267372

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jaden McDanielsSaddiq Bey
Fantasy points33.434.8
Points17.120.9
Rebounds5.26.4
Assists3.02.7
Steals1.31.0
Blocks1.10.2
Threes1.62.6
Turnovers1.91.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJaden McDanielsSaddiq Bey
PointsPTS-0.2+0.2
ReboundsREB-0.5-0.2
AssistsAST-0.5-0.7
StealsSTL+0.4-0.5
BlocksBLK+0.6-1.1
Threes3PM-0.2+0.5
Field goal percentageFG%+0.7-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3+0.7
TurnoversTO+0.2+1.0
Total+0.7-0.6

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Saddiq Bey.

PuntJaden McDanielsSaddiq Bey
PTS+0.9 (#34)-0.8 (#100)
REB+1.2 (#33)-0.5 (#75)
AST+1.1 (#34)+0.0 (#52)
STL+0.3 (#56)-0.2 (#67)
BLK-0.0 (#60)+0.4 (#50)
3PM+0.8 (#40)-1.2 (#104)
FG%+0.0 (#60)-0.1 (#64)
FT%+0.4 (#50)-1.3 (#109)
TO+0.4 (#53)-1.6 (#101)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jaden McDaniels: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).
  • Saddiq Bey: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.

Jaden McDaniels or Saddiq Bey: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Jaden McDaniels: 33.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 29.2 on the board.
  • Saddiq Bey: 21.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 29.3 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jaden McDaniels playing tonight? · Is Saddiq Bey playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jaden McDaniels or Saddiq Bey?

    Points leagues: Saddiq Bey. 29.3 fantasy points per game against 29.2, 91st on our board to 92nd. 9-cat leagues: Jaden McDaniels instead, +0.7 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (43rd to 71st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jaden McDaniels or Saddiq Bey?

    Category by category, Jaden McDaniels is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, BLK and FG%) and Saddiq Bey in 5 (PTS, REB, 3PM, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jaden McDaniels or Saddiq Bey?

    Jaden McDaniels plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Saddiq Bey: 87.8 projected fantasy points to 87.6 for Jaden McDaniels.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number