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Reed Sheppard vs Saddiq Bey: who to start in Week 1

Reed Sheppard plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Saddiq Bey: 87.8 projected fantasy points to 78.7 for Reed Sheppard. Over the season, Saddiq Bey leads in points leagues (29.3 fantasy points a game to 26.2) and Reed Sheppard in 9-cat leagues (70th against 71st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET.

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Reed Sheppard
PGSGHOUage 22GTD
Points leagues
#121
26.2 FP/G, slot 11.01, $6
9-cat leagues
#70
-0.6 z, slot 6.10, $12

Game-time decision (Knee)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Saddiq Bey
SFPFNOPage 27
Points leagues
#91
29.3 FP/G, slot 8.07, $11
9-cat leagues
#71
-0.6 z, slot 6.11, $12

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Saddiq Bey. 29.3 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 91st on our board to 121st.

9-cat leagues: Reed Sheppard instead, -0.6 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (70th to 71st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Reed Sheppard is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, BLK and 3PM) and Saddiq Bey in 5 (PTS, REB, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Reed Sheppard produces more: 37.0 fantasy points to 34.8, on 25.5 minutes a night against 30.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Reed Sheppard plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Saddiq Bey: 87.8 projected fantasy points to 78.7 for Reed Sheppard.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameReed SheppardSaddiq Bey
Fantasy points per game26.229.3
Minutes25.530.2
PointsPTS12.917.5
ReboundsREB2.85.4
AssistsAST3.42.3
StealsSTL1.50.8
BlocksBLK0.60.1
Threes3PM2.72.1
Field goal %FG%42.1%46.2%
Free throw %FT%80.2%85.0%
TurnoversTO1.61.1
Games, 2025-268272

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Reed SheppardSaddiq Bey
Fantasy points37.034.8
Points18.120.9
Rebounds4.06.4
Assists4.82.7
Steals2.11.0
Blocks0.90.2
Threes3.72.6
Turnovers2.21.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryReed SheppardSaddiq Bey
PointsPTS-0.6+0.2
ReboundsREB-1.3-0.2
AssistsAST-0.1-0.7
StealsSTL+1.3-0.5
BlocksBLK-0.1-1.1
Threes3PM+1.1+0.5
Field goal percentageFG%-1.2-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%+0.0+0.7
TurnoversTO+0.3+1.0
Total-0.6-0.6

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals, blocks and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Saddiq Bey.

PuntReed SheppardSaddiq Bey
PTS-0.1 (#60)-0.8 (#100)
REB+0.7 (#43)-0.5 (#75)
AST-0.6 (#78)+0.0 (#52)
STL-2.0 (#145)-0.2 (#67)
BLK-0.5 (#73)+0.4 (#50)
3PM-1.7 (#127)-1.2 (#104)
FG%+0.7 (#45)-0.1 (#64)
FT%-0.7 (#81)-1.3 (#109)
TO-0.9 (#79)-1.6 (#101)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Reed Sheppard: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back, listed GTD.
  • Saddiq Bey: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Reed Sheppard: 14.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 26.2 on the board.
  • Saddiq Bey: 21.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 29.3 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Reed Sheppard playing tonight? · Is Saddiq Bey playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Reed Sheppard

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Reed Sheppard or Saddiq Bey?

    Points leagues: Saddiq Bey. 29.3 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 91st on our board to 121st. 9-cat leagues: Reed Sheppard instead, -0.6 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (70th to 71st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Reed Sheppard or Saddiq Bey?

    Category by category, Reed Sheppard is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, BLK and 3PM) and Saddiq Bey in 5 (PTS, REB, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Reed Sheppard or Saddiq Bey?

    Reed Sheppard plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Saddiq Bey 3. For that week alone, start Saddiq Bey: 87.8 projected fantasy points to 78.7 for Reed Sheppard.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number