Jalen Johnson vs Joel Embiid: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Jalen Johnson in both formats: 48.3 fantasy points a game to 44.5 in points leagues, and 17th against 22nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #8
- 48.3 FP/G, slot 1.08, $38
- 9-cat leagues
- #17
- +3.1 z, slot 2.05, $32
Day to day (Rest)
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #11
- 44.5 FP/G, slot 1.11, $33
- 9-cat leagues
- #22
- +2.5 z, slot 2.10, $29
Day to day (Rest)
The call
Points leagues: draft Jalen Johnson. 48.3 fantasy points per game against 44.5, 8th on our board to 11th.
9-cat leagues: Jalen Johnson again, +3.1 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (17th to 22nd).
Category by category, Jalen Johnson is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, STL and 3PM) and Joel Embiid in 4 (PTS, BLK, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Joel Embiid produces more: 50.6 fantasy points to 49.4, on 31.6 minutes a night against 35.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jalen Johnson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Joel Embiid 4. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 177.9 projected fantasy points to 144.8 for Jalen Johnson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jalen Johnson | Joel Embiid |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 48.3 | 44.5 |
| Minutes | 35.2 | 31.6 |
| PointsPTS | 22.5 | 26.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 10.3 | 7.7 |
| AssistsAST | 7.9 | 3.9 |
| StealsSTL | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.9% | 48.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 78.8% | 85.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 38 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jalen Johnson | Joel Embiid |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 49.4 | 50.6 |
| Points | 23.0 | 30.6 |
| Rebounds | 10.5 | 8.8 |
| Assists | 8.0 | 4.5 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Threes | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Turnovers | 3.5 | 3.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jalen Johnson | Joel Embiid |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +1.0 | +1.8 |
| ReboundsREB | +2.0 | +0.8 |
| AssistsAST | +2.0 | +0.1 |
| StealsSTL | +0.6 | -1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.5 | +1.1 |
| Threes3PM | +0.0 | -0.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.0 | +0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | +1.5 |
| TurnoversTO | -1.9 | -1.3 |
| Total | +3.1 | +2.5 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, assists and steals flips the 9-cat answer to Joel Embiid.
| Punt | Jalen Johnson | Joel Embiid |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +2.0 (#18) | +0.7 (#38) |
| REB | +1.0 (#37) | +1.6 (#28) |
| AST | +0.9 (#37) | +2.3 (#19) |
| STL | +2.5 (#18) | +3.8 (#11) |
| BLK | +3.5 (#14) | +1.4 (#34) |
| 3PM | +2.9 (#14) | +2.6 (#17) |
| FG% | +2.8 (#21) | +2.5 (#24) |
| FT% | +3.2 (#12) | +0.9 (#41) |
| TO | +5.1 (#10) | +3.8 (#17) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jalen Johnson: 3 games (Wed @ORL, Fri @CHA, Sat HOU), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Joel Embiid: 4 games (Tue @NYK, Thu CLE, Sat MIL, Sun DET), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
Recent games
- Jalen Johnson: 39.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 48.3 on the board.
- Joel Embiid: 48.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 44.5 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Jalen Johnson or Joel Embiid in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Jalen Johnson. 48.3 fantasy points per game against 44.5, 8th on our board to 11th. 9-cat leagues: Jalen Johnson again, +3.1 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (17th to 22nd).
Who wins more categories, Jalen Johnson or Joel Embiid?
Category by category, Jalen Johnson is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, STL and 3PM) and Joel Embiid in 4 (PTS, BLK, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Johnson or Joel Embiid?
Jalen Johnson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Joel Embiid 4. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 177.9 projected fantasy points to 144.8 for Jalen Johnson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number