Jalen Smith vs Scoot Henderson: who to start in Week 1
Jalen Smith plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Scoot Henderson 2. For that week alone, start Jalen Smith: 72.4 projected fantasy points to 47.6 for Scoot Henderson. Over the season, Jalen Smith leads in both formats: 24.1 fantasy points a game to 23.8, and 123rd against 228th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 2:26 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #149
- 24.1 FP/G, slot 13.05, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #123
- -1.8 z, slot 11.03, $5
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #150
- 23.8 FP/G, slot 13.06, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #228
- -4.3 z, slot 19.12
The call
Points leagues: Jalen Smith. 24.1 fantasy points per game against 23.8, 149th on our board to 150th.
9-cat leagues: Jalen Smith again, -1.8 in summed z-scores against -4.3 (123rd to 228th).
Category by category, Jalen Smith is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Scoot Henderson in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Jalen Smith produces more: 41.9 fantasy points to 34.9, on 20.8 minutes a night against 24.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jalen Smith plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Scoot Henderson 2. For that week alone, start Jalen Smith: 72.4 projected fantasy points to 47.6 for Scoot Henderson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jalen Smith | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.1 | 23.8 |
| Minutes | 20.8 | 24.6 |
| PointsPTS | 10.7 | 14.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 7.1 | 2.6 |
| AssistsAST | 1.2 | 3.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Field goal %FG% | 49.3% | 42.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.9% | 84.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 2.5 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 53 | 30 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jalen Smith | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 41.9 | 34.9 |
| Points | 18.6 | 20.9 |
| Rebounds | 12.4 | 3.8 |
| Assists | 2.1 | 5.2 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.6 | 3.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jalen Smith | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.6 | -1.4 |
| AssistsAST | -1.2 | -0.0 |
| StealsSTL | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.2 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.2 | +0.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.1 | -1.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | +0.4 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | -0.8 |
| Total | -1.8 | -4.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Jalen Smith stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Jalen Smith | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.8 (#97) | -4.0 (#275) |
| REB | -2.6 (#168) | -3.0 (#192) |
| AST | -0.6 (#77) | -4.4 (#264) |
| STL | -0.6 (#79) | -4.1 (#244) |
| BLK | -2.2 (#143) | -3.7 (#207) |
| 3PM | -1.6 (#124) | -4.6 (#259) |
| FG% | -2.1 (#129) | -3.3 (#170) |
| FT% | -1.6 (#119) | -4.8 (#256) |
| TO | -3.1 (#141) | -3.6 (#160) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jalen Smith: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @MIL, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back.
- Scoot Henderson: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).
Recent games
- Jalen Smith: 34.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 24.1 on the board.
- Scoot Henderson: 13.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 23.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jalen Smith playing tonight? · Is Scoot Henderson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Scoot Henderson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jalen Smith or Scoot Henderson?
Points leagues: Jalen Smith. 24.1 fantasy points per game against 23.8, 149th on our board to 150th. 9-cat leagues: Jalen Smith again, -1.8 in summed z-scores against -4.3 (123rd to 228th).
Who wins more categories, Jalen Smith or Scoot Henderson?
Category by category, Jalen Smith is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Scoot Henderson in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Smith or Scoot Henderson?
Jalen Smith plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Scoot Henderson 2. For that week alone, start Jalen Smith: 72.4 projected fantasy points to 47.6 for Scoot Henderson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 2:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number