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Jalen Williams vs Reed Sheppard: who to start in Week 3

Jalen Williams plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 76.9 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jalen Williams. Over the season, Jalen Williams leads in both formats: 32.5 fantasy points a game to 25.6, and 80th against 81st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET.

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Jalen Williams
PFSFSGOKCage 25OUT
Points leagues
#70
32.5 FP/G, slot 6.10, $14
9-cat leagues
#80
-0.8 z, slot 7.08, $11

Out (Ankle)

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Reed Sheppard
PGSGHOUage 22
Points leagues
#138
25.6 FP/G, slot 12.06, $4
9-cat leagues
#81
-0.9 z, slot 7.09, $10

The call

Points leagues: Jalen Williams. 32.5 fantasy points per game against 25.6, 70th on our board to 138th.

9-cat leagues: Jalen Williams again, -0.8 in summed z-scores against -0.9 (80th to 81st).

Category by category, Jalen Williams is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, FG% and FT%) and Reed Sheppard in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Jalen Williams produces more: 40.5 fantasy points to 36.7, on 28.9 minutes a night against 25.1. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Jalen Williams plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 76.9 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jalen Williams.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJalen WilliamsReed Sheppard
Fantasy points per game32.525.6
Minutes28.925.1
PointsPTS16.512.7
ReboundsREB4.62.8
AssistsAST5.13.5
StealsSTL1.21.5
BlocksBLK0.30.5
Threes3PM0.72.6
Field goal %FG%46.8%42.0%
Free throw %FT%83.2%83.4%
TurnoversTO1.81.5
Games, 2025-263382

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jalen WilliamsReed Sheppard
Fantasy points40.536.7
Points20.518.1
Rebounds5.74.0
Assists6.45.1
Steals1.52.1
Blocks0.40.7
Threes0.93.8
Turnovers2.32.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJalen WilliamsReed Sheppard
PointsPTS-0.0-0.7
ReboundsREB-0.5-1.3
AssistsAST+0.7-0.1
StealsSTL+0.4+1.1
BlocksBLK-0.7-0.4
Threes3PM-1.0+1.0
Field goal percentageFG%-0.2-1.0
Free throw percentageFT%+0.4+0.1
TurnoversTO+0.2+0.6
Total-0.8-0.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, rebounds, assists, field goal percentage and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Reed Sheppard.

PuntJalen WilliamsReed Sheppard
PTS-0.8 (#99)-0.3 (#75)
REB-0.4 (#76)+0.4 (#46)
AST-1.6 (#130)-1.0 (#94)
STL-1.3 (#106)-2.0 (#151)
BLK-0.3 (#71)-0.6 (#80)
3PM+0.0 (#55)-2.0 (#143)
FG%-0.7 (#84)+0.2 (#54)
FT%-1.2 (#103)-1.1 (#98)
TO-1.1 (#87)-1.5 (#99)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Jalen Williams: 4 games (Mon @CLE, Wed CLE, Fri @MEM, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
  • Reed Sheppard: 3 games (Mon BOS, Wed MIN, Sat @PHX).

Every team's games this week · Week 3 streamers

Recent games

  • Jalen Williams: 27.9 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 32.5 on the board.
  • Reed Sheppard: 21.5 fantasy points a game over his last 5 of 2026-27, against 25.6 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jalen Williams playing tonight? · Is Reed Sheppard playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Jalen Williams, Reed Sheppard

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jalen Williams or Reed Sheppard?

    Points leagues: Jalen Williams. 32.5 fantasy points per game against 25.6, 70th on our board to 138th. 9-cat leagues: Jalen Williams again, -0.8 in summed z-scores against -0.9 (80th to 81st).

  • Who wins more categories, Jalen Williams or Reed Sheppard?

    Category by category, Jalen Williams is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, FG% and FT%) and Reed Sheppard in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Jalen Williams or Reed Sheppard?

    Jalen Williams plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 76.9 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Jalen Williams.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number